How does Winchester Repeating Arms Historic District compare with New Haven and Connecticut?

Winchester Repeating Arms Historic District, New Haven, Connecticut is priced in line with New Haven and about 2% below Connecticut. It has gross yield of 5.4 and price growth of 42.6% over the past year. Walkability is 93, education is in the 10th percentile, and the Red Flag score is 66.

What are the main strengths and risks in Winchester Repeating Arms Historic District, New Haven, Connecticut?

Winchester Repeating Arms Historic District, New Haven, Connecticut’s main strength is walkability of 93, alongside 42.6% price growth over the past year. The main risks are the Red Flag score of 66 and education in the 10th percentile. Gross yield is 5.4, and prices are about 2% below Connecticut.

Neighborhood

Winchester Repeating Arms Historic District

New Haven, Connecticut US

Winchester Repeating Arms Historic District, New Haven, Connecticut has a higher-risk investment profile with gross yield of 5.4, prices in line with New Haven and about 2% below Connecticut, and a 42.6% increase over the past year. Walkability is 93, education is in the 10th percentile, and the Red Flag score is 66. The main strength is the strong walkability and rapid price growth, while the main risk is the higher Red Flag score and the low education percentile.

AI Summary•Updated May 2026

Area

0.36 mi²

ZIP Code

06511

County

South Central Connecticut Planning Region

State

Connecticut

Redfin — median sale & volumeZillow ZORI — asking rentFEMA National Risk Index v1.20OpenStreetMap — POIFBI UCR — state crimeWashU ACAG — satellite PM2.5EPA FRS / BTS — hazard screeningUS Census ACS / TIGER 2024

Verified Price · Median Sale

$499,852

YoY+42.6%

Gross Rental Yield

5.4%

Listed rent · ZORI annualized

Red Flag Index

High

66 / 100

Walkability Score

Walker's Paradise

OpenStreetMap POI density · national percentile

Education Score

10 / 100

Limited · better than 10% of U.S. districts

Pre-pandemic SEDA (2018/19) · district proxy

AI Score

Fair

DistrictScore attractiveness · national model

Winchester Repeating Arms Historic District Property Prices & Rental Yield

Verified Redfin sale data and Zillow ZORI asking rent for Winchester Repeating Arms Historic District, New Haven.

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Market Economics Snapshot

May 2026

Metric	Value	YoY
Median Sale Price	$499,852	+42.6%
Price / Sq Ft (Verified)	$228/sqft	-6.8%
Asking Rent (Median)	$2,249/mo	+3.7%
Gross Rental Yield	5.4%	—
Liquidity Score	27 / 100	Low
Homes Sold (Period)	71	-22.0%

Is Winchester Repeating Arms Historic District Safe? Natural-Hazard Risk

FEMA National Risk Index composite across eight hazards, plus inherited Connecticut crime context.

Red Flag Breakdown

66 / 100

High Risk

Composite is weighted by expected impact — frequent low-damage hazards (hail, wind) weigh less than flood or wildfire.

Hurricane100Very High

Flood80Very High

Earthquake80Very High

Strong Wind80Very High

Tornado60High

Heat60High

Hail40Moderate

Wildfire20Low

8/8 hazards scored · FEMA NRI v1.20

Crime (state-level): Connecticut averaged 15.0 crimes and 1.4 violent per 1,000 residents (-11.7% YoY) in 2024(FBI UCR). Compare the state to the country, not states as a ranking — full Safety & Crime data lives on the state page.

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What Stands Out AI Insight

Above-average gross rental yield at 5.4%

Appreciating market — +42.6% sale-price YoY

Highly walkable neighborhood — score 93/100

Active transaction volume — 71 homes sold last period

Hurricane risk is Very High (100/100)

Flood risk is Very High (80/100)

Insights are generated from Winchester Repeating Arms Historic District's live DistrictScore metrics.

Winchester Repeating Arms Historic District Environment & Safety

Satellite PM2.5 air-quality history, FBI UCR crime trend (Connecticut-level, the finest official aggregation), EPA radon potential and point-source hazard screening.

Air Quality — PM2.5

2015–2024

7.3 µg/m³ Meets EPA, above WHO guideline+8.7% since 2015

EPA 9WHO 5

20152024

Annual mean fine-particle (PM2.5) concentration at the Winchester Repeating Arms Historic District centroid, satellite-derived (ACAG). References: WHO guideline 5 µg/m³ · EPA annual standard 9 µg/m³. Latest year ranks worse than 87% of U.S. neighborhoods.

Connecticut Crime Trend

FBI UCR

20132024

All crimes / 1k

Violent / 1k

Year	Crimes / 1k	Violent / 1k	YoY
2024	15.0	1.4	-11.7%
2023	17.2	1.5	+3.8%
2022	16.6	1.5	-1.4%
2021	16.9	1.7	-1.6%
2020	17.5	1.8	+7.8%
2019	16.2	1.9	—

Reported at the state level — the finest official US crime aggregation; Winchester Repeating Arms Historic District inherits the Connecticut figures.

Environmental Hazards

EPA / BTS

Industrial odor2 nearbyModerate

Point-source screening near Winchester Repeating Arms Historic District: EPA Superfund National Priorities List & Facility Registry (2026), BTS aviation noise (2020, 24-hour average level). Superfund shows distance to the nearest listed site; odor shows detected sources within the screening radius. Only detected sources are listed; the bar shows severity vs. all U.S. neighborhoods.

Walkability & Amenities in Winchester Repeating Arms Historic District

Amenity density and pedestrian access from OpenStreetMap points of interest.

Walkability & Amenities

OpenStreetMap POI

93

Walker's Paradise

Walkability Score

11

Grocery

5

Dining

11

Schools

0

Universities

1

Hospitals

0

Pharmacies

10

Parks

0

Rail Transit

0

Coworking

POI counts are amenities within Winchester Repeating Arms Historic District's boundary plus a 400 m walk buffer. Rail transit excludes bus stops.

Winchester Repeating Arms Historic District vs New Haven vs Connecticut

How Winchester Repeating Arms Historic District benchmarks against its city and state medians.

Benchmark vs City & State

In Winchester Repeating Arms Historic District, the median sale price sits in line with the median for New Haven neighborhoods and about 4% below the statewide median. Gross rental yield is 5.4%, against 6.5% for New Haven neighborhoods and 6.1% statewide. Over the past 12 months, prices rose 42.6%. Transaction liquidity sits above the median for New Haven neighborhoods and above the statewide median.

Area	Median / Sq Ft	Gross Yield	Liquidity
Winchester Repeating Arms Historic District	$228/sqft	5.4%	27
New Haven	$228/sqft	6.5%	24
Connecticut	$237/sqft	6.1%	20

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Buying Property in the US as a Foreigner

Federal & Connecticut tax facts for non-resident buyers, plus the latest local market news.

Buying as a Foreigner

US Tax & Ownership

Applies to everyone7

Capital Gains (Federal)

Long-term capital gains taxed federally at 0/15/20%, plus a 3.8% Net Investment Income Tax on higher incomes (2026).

Property Tax

Property tax: ~1.36% average effective rate (statewide average; set and collected locally).

State Income Tax

State income tax up to 6.99%; rental income is taxed at these rates.

State Capital Gains

Capital gains are taxed as ordinary income at state rates.

Transfer Tax

Real estate transfer tax: graduated, with a high-value surcharge over $2.5M.

Assessment Cap

No Proposition 13-style assessment cap; property is reassessed at market value.

Mansion Tax / Rent Control

Mansion-style surcharge: an extra 2.25% on the price portion above $2.5M.

US citizens & tax residents7

Primary-Home Exclusion

Selling your main home: exclude up to $250k of gain (single) / $500k (married) if you owned and lived there 2 of the last 5 years.

1031 Like-Kind Exchange

A 1031 like-kind exchange defers capital gains tax on investment property; 45 days to identify, 180 to close. Real estate only.

Depreciation Recapture

Residential rentals depreciate over 27.5 years; on sale, recaptured depreciation is taxed up to 25% (Section 1250).

Mortgage Interest Deduction

Mortgage interest is deductible on up to $750k of home debt. The SALT cap rose to $40,000 for 2025-2029 (reverts to $10k in 2030).

Opportunity Zones

Opportunity Zones are now permanent (2025): reinvested capital gains get deferral plus a basis step-up, and are tax-free after 10 years.

Rental Income (Resident)

Rental income is reported on Schedule E; passive-loss rules (Section 469) limit deducting rental losses against other income.

1031 State Conformity

The state conforms to the federal 1031 like-kind exchange rules.

Foreign buyers (non-residents)5

FIRPTA (Foreign Sellers)

FIRPTA: the buyer withholds 15% of the gross sale price when a nonresident sells US property. It is an advance deposit, not the final tax.

Non-Resident Capital Gains

Nonresident sellers pay US capital gains tax (generally 15-20%) on the net gain via Form 1040-NR; FIRPTA withholding is credited.

Non-Resident Rental Tax

Nonresident rental income is taxed at 30% of gross by default, or on net income at graduated rates via a Section 871(d) election (W-8ECI).

Estate Tax (Non-Resident)

Nonresidents get only a $60,000 US estate-tax exemption (vs $13.99M for residents); US property above it is taxed up to 40%. Treaties may help.

ITIN Requirement

Nonresidents without an SSN need an ITIN (Form W-7) to file US tax returns, claim FIRPTA refunds, and report rental income.

Talk to a US real-estate tax advisor

FIRPTA, ITIN & Connecticut property-tax guidance for foreign buyers

Winchester Repeating Arms Historic District Real Estate FAQ

Winchester Repeating Arms Historic District, New Haven, Connecticut has a mixed profile. Gross yield is 5.4, prices are in line with New Haven and about 2% below Connecticut, and values rose 42.6% over the past year. The Red Flag score is 66.

Neighborhoods near Winchester Repeating Arms Historic District

Compare Winchester Repeating Arms Historic District with nearby neighborhoods in New Haven.

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