Rancho de Arboleda, Mesa, Arizona has a balanced but moderate investment profile, with a 3.2 gross yield, prices 4% above Mesa and 7% above Arizona, and a Red Flag score of 56. Pricing rose 1.2% over the past year, walkability is 70, and education is in the 43rd percentile. The main strength is stronger walkability; the main risk is the combination of a middling yield and above-market pricing.
AI Summary•Updated May 2026
Area
5.93 mi²
ZIP Code
85213
County
Maricopa County
State
Arizona
Redfin — median sale & volumeZillow ZORI — asking rentFEMA National Risk Index v1.20OpenStreetMap — POIFBI UCR — state crimeEPA — radon zonesWashU ACAG — satellite PM2.5EPA FRS / BTS — hazard screeningUS Census ACS / TIGER 2024
Verified Price · Median Sale
$598,322
YoY+1.1%
Gross Rental Yield
3.2%
Listed rent · ZORI annualized
Red Flag Index
Moderate
56 / 100
Walkability Score
70
Very Walkable
OpenStreetMap POI density · national percentile
Education Score
43 / 100
Fair · better than 43% of U.S. districts
Pre-pandemic SEDA (2018/19) · district proxy
AI Score
43
Fair
DistrictScore attractiveness · national model
Rancho de Arboleda Property Prices & Rental Yield
Verified Redfin sale data and Zillow ZORI asking rent for Rancho de Arboleda, Mesa.
Market Trend (12-Month)
12 Months
$598K$586K$574K$562K$550K
Verified Sale Price (Median)
Jun '25May '26
Verified = Redfin median sale price (MLS). Rolling 3-month series.
Unlock the Rancho de Arboleda 12-month price trend
See the full Verified vs Listed price history — free with a DistrictScore account.
FEMA National Risk Index composite across eight hazards, plus inherited Arizona crime context.
Red Flag Breakdown
56 / 100
Moderate Risk
Composite is weighted by expected impact — frequent low-damage hazards (hail, wind) weigh less than flood or wildfire.
Heat100Very High
Flood80Very High
Hail80Very High
Wildfire60High
Earthquake60High
Strong Wind40Moderate
Hurricane20Low
Tornado20Low
8/8 hazards scored · FEMA NRI v1.20
Crime (state-level): Arizona averaged 22.1 crimes and 4.2 violent per 1,000 residents (-4.8% YoY) in 2024(FBI UCR). Compare the state to the country, not states as a ranking — full Safety & Crime data lives on the state page.
Active transaction volume — 103 homes sold last period
Heat risk is Very High (100/100)
Flood risk is Very High (80/100)
Insights are generated from Rancho de Arboleda's live DistrictScore metrics.
Rancho de Arboleda Environment & Safety
Satellite PM2.5 air-quality history, FBI UCR crime trend (Arizona-level, the finest official aggregation), EPA radon potential and point-source hazard screening.
Air Quality — PM2.5
2015–2024
6.0 µg/m³ Meets EPA, above WHO guideline-16.6% since 2015
9.57.86.24.5
EPA 9WHO 5
20152024
Annual mean fine-particle (PM2.5) concentration at the Rancho de Arboleda centroid, satellite-derived (ACAG). References: WHO guideline 5 µg/m³ · EPA annual standard 9 µg/m³. Latest year ranks worse than 50% of U.S. neighborhoods.
Arizona Crime Trend
FBI UCR
38190
20132024
All crimes / 1k
Violent / 1k
Year
Crimes / 1k
Violent / 1k
YoY
2024
22.1
4.2
-4.8%
2023
23.6
4.3
-4.4%
2022
25.1
4.5
-0.1%
2021
25.4
4.3
-8.3%
2020
27.1
4.8
-4.3%
2019
28.8
4.5
—
Reported at the state level — the finest official US crime aggregation; Rancho de Arboleda inherits the Arizona figures.
Radon Potential
EPA
Zone 2
Zone 2 — Moderate potential · Rancho de Arboleda
EPA radon zones estimate indoor radon potential county-wide (Zone 1 highest, Zone 3 lowest). Testing is recommended in all zones.
Environmental Hazards
EPA / BTS
Industrial odor2 nearbyVery High
Aviation noise46 dBVery Low
Point-source screening near Rancho de Arboleda: EPA Superfund National Priorities List & Facility Registry (2026), BTS aviation noise (2020, 24-hour average level). Superfund shows distance to the nearest listed site; odor shows detected sources within the screening radius. Only detected sources are listed; the bar shows severity vs. all U.S. neighborhoods.
Walkability & Amenities in Rancho de Arboleda
Amenity density and pedestrian access from OpenStreetMap points of interest.
Walkability & Amenities
OpenStreetMap POI
70
Very Walkable
Walkability Score
8
Grocery
19
Dining
13
Schools
0
Universities
10
Hospitals
4
Pharmacies
58
Parks
1
Rail Transit
0
Coworking
POI counts are amenities within Rancho de Arboleda's boundary plus a 400 m walk buffer. Rail transit excludes bus stops.
Rancho de Arboleda vs Mesa vs Arizona
How Rancho de Arboleda benchmarks against its city and state medians.
Benchmark vs City & State
In Rancho de Arboleda, the median sale price sits about 4% above the median for Mesa neighborhoods and about 7% above the statewide median. Gross rental yield is 3.2%, against 4.5% for Mesa neighborhoods and 4.8% statewide. Over the past 12 months, prices rose 1.2%. Transaction liquidity sits below the median for Mesa neighborhoods and below the statewide median.
Rancho de Arboleda, Mesa, Arizona has a 3.2 gross yield and prices 4% above Mesa and 7% above Arizona. That points to a more premium entry point, while the Red Flag score is 56 and pricing rose 1.2% over the past year. Walkability is 70 and education is in the 43rd percentile.
Neighborhoods near Rancho de Arboleda
Compare Rancho de Arboleda with nearby neighborhoods in Mesa.