Dobson Shores, Mesa, Arizona has a balanced investment profile with strong accessibility: pricing is in line with the city and state medians, gross yield is 4.1%, and prices are down 4.3% over the past year. Walkability is 93 and education is in the 43rd percentile, while the Red Flag score is 47, so the main strength is the very high walkability and the main risk is the moderate overall risk score.
AI Summary•Updated May 2026
Area
2.38 mi²
ZIP Code
85202
County
Maricopa County
State
Arizona
Redfin — median sale & volumeZillow ZORI — asking rentFEMA National Risk Index v1.20OpenStreetMap — POIFBI UCR — state crimeEPA — radon zonesWashU ACAG — satellite PM2.5EPA FRS / BTS — hazard screeningUS Census ACS / TIGER 2024
Verified Price · Median Sale
$399,881
YoY-4.3%
Gross Rental Yield
4.1%
Listed rent · ZORI annualized
Red Flag Index
Moderate
47 / 100
Walkability Score
93
Walker's Paradise
OpenStreetMap POI density · national percentile
Education Score
43 / 100
Fair · better than 43% of U.S. districts
Pre-pandemic SEDA (2018/19) · district proxy
AI Score
49
Fair
DistrictScore attractiveness · national model
Dobson Shores Property Prices & Rental Yield
Verified Redfin sale data and Zillow ZORI asking rent for Dobson Shores, Mesa.
Market Trend (12-Month)
12 Months
$453K$436K$420K$404K$388K
Verified Sale Price (Median)
Jun '25May '26
Verified = Redfin median sale price (MLS). Rolling 3-month series.
Unlock the Dobson Shores 12-month price trend
See the full Verified vs Listed price history — free with a DistrictScore account.
FEMA National Risk Index composite across eight hazards, plus inherited Arizona crime context.
Red Flag Breakdown
47 / 100
Moderate Risk
Composite is weighted by expected impact — frequent low-damage hazards (hail, wind) weigh less than flood or wildfire.
Heat80Very High
Hail80Very High
Flood60High
Earthquake60High
Wildfire40Moderate
Strong Wind40Moderate
Hurricane20Low
Tornado20Low
8/8 hazards scored · FEMA NRI v1.20
Crime (state-level): Arizona averaged 22.1 crimes and 4.2 violent per 1,000 residents (-4.8% YoY) in 2024(FBI UCR). Compare the state to the country, not states as a ranking — full Safety & Crime data lives on the state page.
Insights are generated from Dobson Shores's live DistrictScore metrics.
Dobson Shores Environment & Safety
Satellite PM2.5 air-quality history, FBI UCR crime trend (Arizona-level, the finest official aggregation), EPA radon potential and point-source hazard screening.
Air Quality — PM2.5
2015–2024
6.3 µg/m³ Meets EPA, above WHO guideline-9.9% since 2015
9.57.86.24.5
EPA 9WHO 5
20152024
Annual mean fine-particle (PM2.5) concentration at the Dobson Shores centroid, satellite-derived (ACAG). References: WHO guideline 5 µg/m³ · EPA annual standard 9 µg/m³. Latest year ranks worse than 60% of U.S. neighborhoods.
Arizona Crime Trend
FBI UCR
38190
20132024
All crimes / 1k
Violent / 1k
Year
Crimes / 1k
Violent / 1k
YoY
2024
22.1
4.2
-4.8%
2023
23.6
4.3
-4.4%
2022
25.1
4.5
-0.1%
2021
25.4
4.3
-8.3%
2020
27.1
4.8
-4.3%
2019
28.8
4.5
—
Reported at the state level — the finest official US crime aggregation; Dobson Shores inherits the Arizona figures.
Radon Potential
EPA
Zone 2
Zone 2 — Moderate potential · Dobson Shores
EPA radon zones estimate indoor radon potential county-wide (Zone 1 highest, Zone 3 lowest). Testing is recommended in all zones.
Environmental Hazards
EPA / BTS
Industrial odor3 nearbyHigh
Point-source screening near Dobson Shores: EPA Superfund National Priorities List & Facility Registry (2026), BTS aviation noise (2020, 24-hour average level). Superfund shows distance to the nearest listed site; odor shows detected sources within the screening radius. Only detected sources are listed; the bar shows severity vs. all U.S. neighborhoods.
Walkability & Amenities in Dobson Shores
Amenity density and pedestrian access from OpenStreetMap points of interest.
Walkability & Amenities
OpenStreetMap POI
93
Walker's Paradise
Walkability Score
25
Grocery
78
Dining
8
Schools
2
Universities
17
Hospitals
6
Pharmacies
32
Parks
4
Rail Transit
0
Coworking
POI counts are amenities within Dobson Shores's boundary plus a 400 m walk buffer. Rail transit excludes bus stops.
Dobson Shores vs Mesa vs Arizona
How Dobson Shores benchmarks against its city and state medians.
Benchmark vs City & State
In Dobson Shores, the median sale price sits in line with the median for Mesa neighborhoods and in line with the statewide median. Gross rental yield is 4.1%, against 4.5% for Mesa neighborhoods and 4.8% statewide. Over the past 12 months, prices fell 4.3%. Transaction liquidity sits in line with the median for Mesa neighborhoods and below the statewide median.
Dobson Shores in Mesa, Arizona has a balanced profile. Pricing is in line with the city and state medians, gross yield is 4.1%, and prices are down 4.3% over the past year. Walkability is 93, education is in the 43rd percentile, and the Red Flag score is 47.
Neighborhoods near Dobson Shores
Compare Dobson Shores with nearby neighborhoods in Mesa.