Timber Ridge, Millcreek Township, Pennsylvania is a below-median pricing market with a 5.4 gross yield and prices up 4.7% over the past year. It sits 12% below the city median and 9% below the state median, which supports a lower entry point relative to both benchmarks. The area carries a Red Flag score of 56 and education in the 84th percentile; with no walkability score provided, the numbers point to moderate income potential and a comparatively strong school-score profile.
AI Summary•Updated May 2026
Area
0.03 mi²
ZIP Code
16509
County
Erie County
State
Pennsylvania
Redfin — median sale & volumeZillow ZORI — asking rentFEMA National Risk Index v1.20FBI UCR — state crimeEPA — radon zonesWashU ACAG — satellite PM2.5US Census ACS / TIGER 2024
Verified Price · Median Sale
$260,423
YoY+4.7%
Gross Rental Yield
5.4%
Listed rent · ZORI annualized
Red Flag Index
Moderate
56 / 100
Walkability Score
—
—
OpenStreetMap POI density · national percentile
Education Score
84 / 100
Excellent · better than 84% of U.S. districts
Pre-pandemic SEDA (2018/19) · district proxy
AI Score
50
Fair
DistrictScore attractiveness · national model
Timber Ridge Property Prices & Rental Yield
Verified Redfin sale data and Zillow ZORI asking rent for Timber Ridge, Millcreek Township.
Market Trend (12-Month)
12 Months
$290K$273K$256K$239K$223K
Verified Sale Price (Median)
Jun '25May '26
Verified = Redfin median sale price (MLS). Rolling 3-month series.
Unlock the Timber Ridge 12-month price trend
See the full Verified vs Listed price history — free with a DistrictScore account.
FEMA National Risk Index composite across eight hazards, plus inherited Pennsylvania crime context.
Red Flag Breakdown
56 / 100
Moderate Risk
Composite is weighted by expected impact — frequent low-damage hazards (hail, wind) weigh less than flood or wildfire.
Flood80Very High
Strong Wind80Very High
Wildfire60High
Hurricane60High
Tornado60High
Hail40Moderate
Earthquake20Low
Heat20Low
8/8 hazards scored · FEMA NRI v1.20
Crime (state-level): Pennsylvania averaged 16.8 crimes and 2.5 violent per 1,000 residents (-7.8% YoY) in 2024(FBI UCR). Compare the state to the country, not states as a ranking — full Safety & Crime data lives on the state page.
Active transaction volume — 43 homes sold last period
Flood risk is Very High (80/100)
Strong Wind risk is Very High (80/100)
Insights are generated from Timber Ridge's live DistrictScore metrics.
Timber Ridge Environment & Safety
Satellite PM2.5 air-quality history, FBI UCR crime trend (Pennsylvania-level, the finest official aggregation), EPA radon potential and point-source hazard screening.
Air Quality — PM2.5
2015–2024
5.3 µg/m³ Meets EPA, above WHO guideline-32.9% since 2015
9.57.86.24.5
EPA 9WHO 5
20152024
Annual mean fine-particle (PM2.5) concentration at the Timber Ridge centroid, satellite-derived (ACAG). References: WHO guideline 5 µg/m³ · EPA annual standard 9 µg/m³. Latest year ranks worse than 27% of U.S. neighborhoods.
Pennsylvania Crime Trend
FBI UCR
24120
20132024
All crimes / 1k
Violent / 1k
Year
Crimes / 1k
Violent / 1k
YoY
2024
16.8
2.5
-7.8%
2023
18.3
2.7
+2.7%
2022
17.9
2.9
+16.8%
2021
15.3
2.8
-23.5%
2020
20.3
3.9
+18.8%
2019
17.1
3.1
—
Reported at the state level — the finest official US crime aggregation; Timber Ridge inherits the Pennsylvania figures.
Radon Potential
EPA
Zone 2
Zone 2 — Moderate potential · Timber Ridge
EPA radon zones estimate indoor radon potential county-wide (Zone 1 highest, Zone 3 lowest). Testing is recommended in all zones.
Timber Ridge vs Millcreek Township vs Pennsylvania
How Timber Ridge benchmarks against its city and state medians.
Benchmark vs City & State
Across Timber Ridge, the median sale price sits about 12% below the median for Millcreek Township neighborhoods and about 5% below the statewide median. Gross rental yield is 5.4%, against 7.0% for Millcreek Township neighborhoods and 6.4% statewide. Over the past 12 months, prices rose 4.7%. Transaction liquidity sits below the median for Millcreek Township neighborhoods and above the statewide median.
Timber Ridge, Millcreek Township, Pennsylvania shows a 5.4 gross yield and prices 12% below the city median and 9% below the state median. Prices are up 4.7% over the past year, and the Red Flag score is 56, so the data show lower pricing with moderate risk.
Neighborhoods near Timber Ridge
Compare Timber Ridge with nearby neighborhoods in Millcreek Township.