Neighborhood
Surprise Farms
Surprise, Arizona US
Surprise Farms, Surprise, Arizona offers a balanced but softer profile with pricing in line with Surprise and about 15% below Arizona, a gross yield of 5.7, and price movement over the past year of -5.4. The neighborhood has a walkability of 68, education in the 48th percentile, and a Red Flag score of 57. The main strength is the combination of moderate yield and relatively lower pricing versus the state; the main risk is the negative annual price trend and a Red Flag score of 57.
AI Summary•Updated May 2026
Area
2.08 mi²
ZIP Code
85388
County
Maricopa County
State
Arizona
Redfin — median sale & volumeZillow ZORI — asking rentFEMA National Risk Index v1.20OpenStreetMap — POIFBI UCR — state crimeEPA — radon zonesWashU ACAG — satellite PM2.5US Census ACS / TIGER 2024
Verified Price · Median Sale
$477,358
YoY-5.4%
Gross Rental Yield
5.7%
Listed rent · ZORI annualized
Red Flag Index
Moderate
57 / 100
Walkability Score
68
OpenStreetMap POI density · national percentile
Education Score
48 / 100
Pre-pandemic SEDA (2018/19) · district proxy
AI Score
53
DistrictScore attractiveness · national model
Surprise Farms Property Prices & Rental Yield
Verified Redfin sale data and Zillow ZORI asking rent for Surprise Farms, Surprise.
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Sign in to view — freeMarket Economics Snapshot
May 2026| Metric | Value | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Median Sale Price | $477,358 | -5.4% |
| Price / Sq Ft (Verified) | $218/sqft | -1.1% |
| Asking Rent (Median) | $2,266/mo | -1.9% |
| Gross Rental Yield | 5.7% | — |
| Liquidity Score | 42 / 100 | Moderate |
| Homes Sold (Period) | 172 | +38.7% |
Is Surprise Farms Safe? Natural-Hazard Risk
FEMA National Risk Index composite across eight hazards, plus inherited Arizona crime context.
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Sign in to view — free What Stands Out AI Insight
Above-average gross rental yield at 5.7%
Active transaction volume — 172 homes sold last period
Heat risk is Very High (100/100)
Flood risk is Very High (80/100)
Insights are generated from Surprise Farms's live DistrictScore metrics.
Surprise Farms Environment & Safety
Satellite PM2.5 air-quality history, FBI UCR crime trend (Arizona-level, the finest official aggregation), EPA radon potential and point-source hazard screening.
Air Quality — PM2.5
2015–20245.0 µg/m³ Meets EPA, above WHO guideline-4.2% since 2015
EPA 9WHO 5
20152024
Annual mean fine-particle (PM2.5) concentration at the Surprise Farms centroid, satellite-derived (ACAG). References: WHO guideline 5 µg/m³ · EPA annual standard 9 µg/m³. Latest year ranks worse than 17% of U.S. neighborhoods.
Arizona Crime Trend
FBI UCR20132024
All crimes / 1k
Violent / 1k
| Year | Crimes / 1k | Violent / 1k | YoY |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 22.1 | 4.2 | -4.8% |
| 2023 | 23.6 | 4.3 | -4.4% |
| 2022 | 25.1 | 4.5 | -0.1% |
| 2021 | 25.4 | 4.3 | -8.3% |
| 2020 | 27.1 | 4.8 | -4.3% |
| 2019 | 28.8 | 4.5 | — |
Reported at the state level — the finest official US crime aggregation; Surprise Farms inherits the Arizona figures.
Radon Potential
EPAZone 2
Zone 2 — Moderate potential · Surprise Farms
EPA radon zones estimate indoor radon potential county-wide (Zone 1 highest, Zone 3 lowest). Testing is recommended in all zones.
Walkability & Amenities in Surprise Farms
Amenity density and pedestrian access from OpenStreetMap points of interest.
Walkability & Amenities
OpenStreetMap POI68
Somewhat Walkable
Walkability Score
6
Grocery
7
Dining
5
Schools
0
Universities
2
Hospitals
5
Pharmacies
33
Parks
0
Rail Transit
0
Coworking
POI counts are amenities within Surprise Farms's boundary plus a 400 m walk buffer. Rail transit excludes bus stops.
Surprise Farms vs Surprise vs Arizona
How Surprise Farms benchmarks against its city and state medians.
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Sign in to view — freeBuying Property in the US as a Foreigner
Federal & Arizona tax facts for non-resident buyers, plus the latest local market news.
Buying as a Foreigner
US Tax & OwnershipApplies to everyone7
Capital Gains (Federal)
Long-term capital gains taxed federally at 0/15/20%, plus a 3.8% Net Investment Income Tax on higher incomes (2026).
Property Tax
Property tax: ~0.43% average effective rate (statewide average; set and collected locally).
State Income Tax
State income tax up to 2.5%; rental income is taxed at these rates.
State Capital Gains
Capital gains are taxed as ordinary income at state rates.
Transfer Tax
Real estate transfer tax: flat $2 per deed.
Assessment Cap
No Proposition 13-style assessment cap; property is reassessed at market value.
Mansion Tax / Rent Control
No statewide mansion tax or statewide rent control.
US citizens & tax residents7
Primary-Home Exclusion
Selling your main home: exclude up to $250k of gain (single) / $500k (married) if you owned and lived there 2 of the last 5 years.
1031 Like-Kind Exchange
A 1031 like-kind exchange defers capital gains tax on investment property; 45 days to identify, 180 to close. Real estate only.
Depreciation Recapture
Residential rentals depreciate over 27.5 years; on sale, recaptured depreciation is taxed up to 25% (Section 1250).
Mortgage Interest Deduction
Mortgage interest is deductible on up to $750k of home debt. The SALT cap rose to $40,000 for 2025-2029 (reverts to $10k in 2030).
Opportunity Zones
Opportunity Zones are now permanent (2025): reinvested capital gains get deferral plus a basis step-up, and are tax-free after 10 years.
Rental Income (Resident)
Rental income is reported on Schedule E; passive-loss rules (Section 469) limit deducting rental losses against other income.
1031 State Conformity
The state conforms to the federal 1031 like-kind exchange rules.
Foreign buyers (non-residents)5
FIRPTA (Foreign Sellers)
FIRPTA: the buyer withholds 15% of the gross sale price when a nonresident sells US property. It is an advance deposit, not the final tax.
Non-Resident Capital Gains
Nonresident sellers pay US capital gains tax (generally 15-20%) on the net gain via Form 1040-NR; FIRPTA withholding is credited.
Non-Resident Rental Tax
Nonresident rental income is taxed at 30% of gross by default, or on net income at graduated rates via a Section 871(d) election (W-8ECI).
Estate Tax (Non-Resident)
Nonresidents get only a $60,000 US estate-tax exemption (vs $13.99M for residents); US property above it is taxed up to 40%. Treaties may help.
ITIN Requirement
Nonresidents without an SSN need an ITIN (Form W-7) to file US tax returns, claim FIRPTA refunds, and report rental income.
Talk to a US real-estate tax advisor
FIRPTA, ITIN & Arizona property-tax guidance for foreign buyers
Surprise Farms Real Estate FAQ
Surprise Farms, Surprise, Arizona has a balanced but softer profile. It offers a gross yield of 5.7, prices that are in line with Surprise and about 15% below Arizona, and price movement of -5.4 over the past year. The Red Flag score is 57, walkability is 68, and education is in the 48th percentile.
Neighborhoods near Surprise Farms
Compare Surprise Farms with nearby neighborhoods in Surprise.
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