Sun City Festival, Buckeye, Arizona is a yield-oriented market with pricing in line with Buckeye and about 7% below Arizona, a gross yield of 5.9, and a price trend down 2.7% over the past year. The main strength is the combination of yield and relative affordability, while the main risk is a Red Flag score of 68. Walkability is 5 and education is in the 25th percentile.
AI Summary•Updated May 2026
Area
4.47 mi²
ZIP Code
85396
County
Maricopa County
State
Arizona
Redfin — median sale & volumeZillow ZORI — asking rentFEMA National Risk Index v1.20OpenStreetMap — POIFBI UCR — state crimeEPA — radon zonesWashU ACAG — satellite PM2.5US Census ACS / TIGER 2024
Verified Price · Median Sale
$446,857
YoY-2.6%
Gross Rental Yield
5.9%
Listed rent · ZORI annualized
Red Flag Index
High
68 / 100
Walkability Score
5
Minimal
OpenStreetMap POI density · national percentile
Education Score
25 / 100
Limited · better than 25% of U.S. districts
Pre-pandemic SEDA (2018/19) · district proxy
AI Score
52
Fair
DistrictScore attractiveness · national model
Sun City Festival Property Prices & Rental Yield
Verified Redfin sale data and Zillow ZORI asking rent for Sun City Festival, Buckeye.
Market Trend (12-Month)
12 Months
$495K$483K$470K$458K$445K
Verified Sale Price (Median)
Jun '25May '26
Verified = Redfin median sale price (MLS). Rolling 3-month series.
Unlock the Sun City Festival 12-month price trend
See the full Verified vs Listed price history — free with a DistrictScore account.
FEMA National Risk Index composite across eight hazards, plus inherited Arizona crime context.
Red Flag Breakdown
68 / 100
High Risk
Composite is weighted by expected impact — frequent low-damage hazards (hail, wind) weigh less than flood or wildfire.
Flood100Very High
Wildfire100Very High
Heat100Very High
Hail80Very High
Strong Wind60High
Earthquake40Moderate
Tornado40Moderate
Hurricane20Low
8/8 hazards scored · FEMA NRI v1.20
Crime (state-level): Arizona averaged 22.1 crimes and 4.2 violent per 1,000 residents (-4.8% YoY) in 2024(FBI UCR). Compare the state to the country, not states as a ranking — full Safety & Crime data lives on the state page.
Active transaction volume — 374 homes sold last period
Flood risk is Very High (100/100)
Wildfire risk is Very High (100/100)
Insights are generated from Sun City Festival's live DistrictScore metrics.
Sun City Festival Environment & Safety
Satellite PM2.5 air-quality history, FBI UCR crime trend (Arizona-level, the finest official aggregation), EPA radon potential and point-source hazard screening.
Air Quality — PM2.5
2015–2024
5.4 µg/m³ Meets EPA, above WHO guideline-12.1% since 2015
9.57.55.53.4
EPA 9WHO 5
20152024
Annual mean fine-particle (PM2.5) concentration at the Sun City Festival centroid, satellite-derived (ACAG). References: WHO guideline 5 µg/m³ · EPA annual standard 9 µg/m³. Latest year ranks worse than 32% of U.S. neighborhoods.
Arizona Crime Trend
FBI UCR
38190
20132024
All crimes / 1k
Violent / 1k
Year
Crimes / 1k
Violent / 1k
YoY
2024
22.1
4.2
-4.8%
2023
23.6
4.3
-4.4%
2022
25.1
4.5
-0.1%
2021
25.4
4.3
-8.3%
2020
27.1
4.8
-4.3%
2019
28.8
4.5
—
Reported at the state level — the finest official US crime aggregation; Sun City Festival inherits the Arizona figures.
Radon Potential
EPA
Zone 2
Zone 2 — Moderate potential · Sun City Festival
EPA radon zones estimate indoor radon potential county-wide (Zone 1 highest, Zone 3 lowest). Testing is recommended in all zones.
Walkability & Amenities in Sun City Festival
Amenity density and pedestrian access from OpenStreetMap points of interest.
Walkability & Amenities
OpenStreetMap POI
5
Minimal
Walkability Score
2
Grocery
1
Dining
1
Schools
0
Universities
0
Hospitals
0
Pharmacies
6
Parks
0
Rail Transit
0
Coworking
POI counts are amenities within Sun City Festival's boundary plus a 400 m walk buffer. Rail transit excludes bus stops.
Sun City Festival vs Buckeye vs Arizona
How Sun City Festival benchmarks against its city and state medians.
Benchmark vs City & State
Across Sun City Festival, the median sale price sits in line with the median for Buckeye neighborhoods and about 7% below the statewide median. Gross rental yield is 5.9%, against 5.9% for Buckeye neighborhoods and 4.8% statewide. Over the past 12 months, prices fell 2.7%. Transaction liquidity sits in line with the median for Buckeye neighborhoods and above the statewide median.
Sun City Festival, Buckeye, Arizona has walkability of 5 and education in the 25th percentile. Those scores sit alongside a gross yield of 5.9 and pricing about 7% below Arizona. The Red Flag score is 68, and prices are down 2.7% over the past year.
Neighborhoods near Sun City Festival
Compare Sun City Festival with nearby neighborhoods in Buckeye.