South Winchester in Millcreek Township, Pennsylvania has a value-oriented investment profile, with prices about 12% below the city median and 9% below the state median, a gross yield of 5.4, and prices up 4.7% over the past year. The Red Flag score of 56 suggests a moderate risk profile, while education in the 84th percentile is a clear strength and walkability of 42 is a weaker point.
AI Summary•Updated May 2026
Area
0.12 mi²
ZIP Code
16509
County
Erie County
State
Pennsylvania
Redfin — median sale & volumeZillow ZORI — asking rentFEMA National Risk Index v1.20OpenStreetMap — POIFBI UCR — state crimeEPA — radon zonesWashU ACAG — satellite PM2.5US Census ACS / TIGER 2024
Verified Price · Median Sale
$260,423
YoY+4.7%
Gross Rental Yield
5.4%
Listed rent · ZORI annualized
Red Flag Index
Moderate
56 / 100
Walkability Score
42
Car-Dependent
OpenStreetMap POI density · national percentile
Education Score
84 / 100
Excellent · better than 84% of U.S. districts
Pre-pandemic SEDA (2018/19) · district proxy
AI Score
49
Fair
DistrictScore attractiveness · national model
South Winchester Property Prices & Rental Yield
Verified Redfin sale data and Zillow ZORI asking rent for South Winchester, Millcreek Township.
Market Trend (12-Month)
12 Months
$290K$273K$256K$239K$223K
Verified Sale Price (Median)
Jun '25May '26
Verified = Redfin median sale price (MLS). Rolling 3-month series.
Unlock the South Winchester 12-month price trend
See the full Verified vs Listed price history — free with a DistrictScore account.
FEMA National Risk Index composite across eight hazards, plus inherited Pennsylvania crime context.
Red Flag Breakdown
56 / 100
Moderate Risk
Composite is weighted by expected impact — frequent low-damage hazards (hail, wind) weigh less than flood or wildfire.
Flood80Very High
Strong Wind80Very High
Wildfire60High
Hurricane60High
Tornado60High
Hail40Moderate
Earthquake20Low
Heat20Low
8/8 hazards scored · FEMA NRI v1.20
Crime (state-level): Pennsylvania averaged 16.8 crimes and 2.5 violent per 1,000 residents (-7.8% YoY) in 2024(FBI UCR). Compare the state to the country, not states as a ranking — full Safety & Crime data lives on the state page.
Active transaction volume — 43 homes sold last period
Flood risk is Very High (80/100)
Strong Wind risk is Very High (80/100)
Insights are generated from South Winchester's live DistrictScore metrics.
South Winchester Environment & Safety
Satellite PM2.5 air-quality history, FBI UCR crime trend (Pennsylvania-level, the finest official aggregation), EPA radon potential and point-source hazard screening.
Air Quality — PM2.5
2015–2024
5.3 µg/m³ Meets EPA, above WHO guideline-32.9% since 2015
9.57.86.24.5
EPA 9WHO 5
20152024
Annual mean fine-particle (PM2.5) concentration at the South Winchester centroid, satellite-derived (ACAG). References: WHO guideline 5 µg/m³ · EPA annual standard 9 µg/m³. Latest year ranks worse than 27% of U.S. neighborhoods.
Pennsylvania Crime Trend
FBI UCR
24120
20132024
All crimes / 1k
Violent / 1k
Year
Crimes / 1k
Violent / 1k
YoY
2024
16.8
2.5
-7.8%
2023
18.3
2.7
+2.7%
2022
17.9
2.9
+16.8%
2021
15.3
2.8
-23.5%
2020
20.3
3.9
+18.8%
2019
17.1
3.1
—
Reported at the state level — the finest official US crime aggregation; South Winchester inherits the Pennsylvania figures.
Radon Potential
EPA
Zone 2
Zone 2 — Moderate potential · South Winchester
EPA radon zones estimate indoor radon potential county-wide (Zone 1 highest, Zone 3 lowest). Testing is recommended in all zones.
Walkability & Amenities in South Winchester
Amenity density and pedestrian access from OpenStreetMap points of interest.
Walkability & Amenities
OpenStreetMap POI
42
Car-Dependent
Walkability Score
0
Grocery
0
Dining
2
Schools
0
Universities
0
Hospitals
0
Pharmacies
0
Parks
0
Rail Transit
0
Coworking
POI counts are amenities within South Winchester's boundary plus a 400 m walk buffer. Rail transit excludes bus stops.
South Winchester vs Millcreek Township vs Pennsylvania
How South Winchester benchmarks against its city and state medians.
Benchmark vs City & State
In South Winchester, the median sale price sits about 12% below the median for Millcreek Township neighborhoods and about 5% below the statewide median. Gross rental yield is 5.4%, against 7.0% for Millcreek Township neighborhoods and 6.4% statewide. Over the past 12 months, prices rose 4.7%. Transaction liquidity sits below the median for Millcreek Township neighborhoods and above the statewide median.
South Winchester in Millcreek Township, Pennsylvania has a value-oriented profile, with prices about 12% below the city median and 9% below the state median. It also shows a gross yield of 5.4 and price growth of 4.7% over the past year, while the Red Flag score is 56.
Neighborhoods near South Winchester
Compare South Winchester with nearby neighborhoods in Millcreek Township.