Neighborhood
Otay Ranch
Chula Vista, California US
Otay Ranch, Chula Vista, California presents a value-oriented profile with prices about 8% below Chula Vista and about 19% below California. Gross yield is 5.0, and prices are down 3.3 over the past year. The neighborhood has walkability of 42 and education in the 56th percentile, while the Red Flag score of 58 is a moderate risk marker.
AI Summary•Updated May 2026
Area
6.80 mi²
ZIP Code
91915
County
San Diego County
State
California
Redfin — median sale & volumeZillow ZORI — asking rentFEMA National Risk Index v1.20OpenStreetMap — POIFBI UCR — state crimeEPA — radon zonesWashU ACAG — satellite PM2.5US Census ACS / TIGER 2024
Verified Price · Median Sale
$802,262
YoY-3.3%
Gross Rental Yield
5.0%
Listed rent · ZORI annualized
Red Flag Index
Moderate
58 / 100
Walkability Score
42
OpenStreetMap POI density · national percentile
Education Score
56 / 100
Pre-pandemic SEDA (2018/19) · district proxy
AI Score
46
DistrictScore attractiveness · national model
Otay Ranch Property Prices & Rental Yield
Verified Redfin sale data and Zillow ZORI asking rent for Otay Ranch, Chula Vista.
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Sign in to view — freeMarket Economics Snapshot
May 2026| Metric | Value | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Median Sale Price | $802,262 | -3.3% |
| Price / Sq Ft (Verified) | $453/sqft | -0.2% |
| Asking Rent (Median) | $3,344/mo | +3.8% |
| Gross Rental Yield | 5.0% | — |
| Liquidity Score | 26 / 100 | Low |
| Homes Sold (Period) | 66 | -14.3% |
Is Otay Ranch Safe? Natural-Hazard Risk
FEMA National Risk Index composite across eight hazards, plus inherited California crime context.
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Sign in to view — free What Stands Out AI Insight
Above-average gross rental yield at 5.0%
Active transaction volume — 66 homes sold last period
Wildfire risk is Very High (100/100)
Earthquake risk is Very High (100/100)
Insights are generated from Otay Ranch's live DistrictScore metrics.
Otay Ranch Environment & Safety
Satellite PM2.5 air-quality history, FBI UCR crime trend (California-level, the finest official aggregation), EPA radon potential and point-source hazard screening.
Air Quality — PM2.5
2015–20245.9 µg/m³ Meets EPA, above WHO guideline-13.4% since 2015
EPA 9WHO 5
20152024
Annual mean fine-particle (PM2.5) concentration at the Otay Ranch centroid, satellite-derived (ACAG). References: WHO guideline 5 µg/m³ · EPA annual standard 9 µg/m³. Latest year ranks worse than 47% of U.S. neighborhoods.
California Crime Trend
FBI UCR20132024
All crimes / 1k
Violent / 1k
| Year | Crimes / 1k | Violent / 1k | YoY |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 25.6 | 4.9 | -8.9% |
| 2023 | 28.3 | 5.1 | -0.7% |
| 2022 | 28.6 | 5.0 | +8.0% |
| 2021 | 26.5 | 4.8 | +1.9% |
| 2020 | 25.8 | 4.4 | -7.3% |
| 2019 | 27.8 | 4.4 | — |
Reported at the state level — the finest official US crime aggregation; Otay Ranch inherits the California figures.
Radon Potential
EPAZone 3
Zone 3 — Lowest potential · Otay Ranch
EPA radon zones estimate indoor radon potential county-wide (Zone 1 highest, Zone 3 lowest). Testing is recommended in all zones.
Walkability & Amenities in Otay Ranch
Amenity density and pedestrian access from OpenStreetMap points of interest.
Walkability & Amenities
OpenStreetMap POI42
Car-Dependent
Walkability Score
5
Grocery
27
Dining
7
Schools
0
Universities
0
Hospitals
1
Pharmacies
21
Parks
2
Rail Transit
0
Coworking
POI counts are amenities within Otay Ranch's boundary plus a 400 m walk buffer. Rail transit excludes bus stops.
Otay Ranch vs Chula Vista vs California
How Otay Ranch benchmarks against its city and state medians.
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Sign in to view — freeBuying Property in the US as a Foreigner
Federal & California tax facts for non-resident buyers, plus the latest local market news.
Buying as a Foreigner
US Tax & OwnershipApplies to everyone7
Capital Gains (Federal)
Long-term capital gains taxed federally at 0/15/20%, plus a 3.8% Net Investment Income Tax on higher incomes (2026).
Property Tax
Property tax: ~0.69% average effective rate (statewide average; set and collected locally).
State Income Tax
State income tax up to 13.3%; rental income is taxed at these rates.
State Capital Gains
Capital gains are taxed as ordinary income at state rates.
Transfer Tax
Real estate transfer tax: documentary transfer tax $0.55 per $500 + local.
Assessment Cap
Prop 13 caps assessed-value growth at 2%/yr; property is reassessed to market value when you buy.
Mansion Tax / Rent Control
No statewide mansion tax (LA has a local one); statewide rent control caps increases at 5%+CPI (AB 1482).
US citizens & tax residents8
Primary-Home Exclusion
Selling your main home: exclude up to $250k of gain (single) / $500k (married) if you owned and lived there 2 of the last 5 years.
1031 Like-Kind Exchange
A 1031 like-kind exchange defers capital gains tax on investment property; 45 days to identify, 180 to close. Real estate only.
Depreciation Recapture
Residential rentals depreciate over 27.5 years; on sale, recaptured depreciation is taxed up to 25% (Section 1250).
Mortgage Interest Deduction
Mortgage interest is deductible on up to $750k of home debt. The SALT cap rose to $40,000 for 2025-2029 (reverts to $10k in 2030).
Opportunity Zones
Opportunity Zones are now permanent (2025): reinvested capital gains get deferral plus a basis step-up, and are tax-free after 10 years.
Rental Income (Resident)
Rental income is reported on Schedule E; passive-loss rules (Section 469) limit deducting rental losses against other income.
Senior & Veteran Exemptions
Disabled-veteran property-tax exemption (~$161,083 in 2025, more if low-income); senior programs available.
1031 State Conformity
California conforms to 1031 but claws back deferred CA-source gain (Form FTB 3840) if you move out of state.
Foreign buyers (non-residents)5
FIRPTA (Foreign Sellers)
FIRPTA: the buyer withholds 15% of the gross sale price when a nonresident sells US property. It is an advance deposit, not the final tax.
Non-Resident Capital Gains
Nonresident sellers pay US capital gains tax (generally 15-20%) on the net gain via Form 1040-NR; FIRPTA withholding is credited.
Non-Resident Rental Tax
Nonresident rental income is taxed at 30% of gross by default, or on net income at graduated rates via a Section 871(d) election (W-8ECI).
Estate Tax (Non-Resident)
Nonresidents get only a $60,000 US estate-tax exemption (vs $13.99M for residents); US property above it is taxed up to 40%. Treaties may help.
ITIN Requirement
Nonresidents without an SSN need an ITIN (Form W-7) to file US tax returns, claim FIRPTA refunds, and report rental income.
Talk to a US real-estate tax advisor
FIRPTA, ITIN & California property-tax guidance for foreign buyers
Otay Ranch Real Estate FAQ
Otay Ranch, Chula Vista, California has a value-oriented profile with prices about 8% below Chula Vista and about 19% below California. Gross yield is 5.0, prices are down 3.3 over the past year, and the Red Flag score is 58.
Neighborhoods near Otay Ranch
Compare Otay Ranch with nearby neighborhoods in Chula Vista.
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