Otay, Chula Vista, California presents a balanced investment profile with pricing in line with the city median and about 12% below the state median. Gross yield is 4.3%, while prices are down 5.2% over the past year, which may support entry pricing. The neighborhood has a Red Flag score of 44, walkability of 64, and education in the 56th percentile, combining moderate accessibility with midrange school-test performance.
AI Summary•Updated May 2026
Area
2.74 mi²
ZIP Code
91911
County
San Diego County
State
California
Redfin — median sale & volumeZillow ZORI — asking rentFEMA National Risk Index v1.20OpenStreetMap — POIFBI UCR — state crimeEPA — radon zonesWashU ACAG — satellite PM2.5EPA FRS / BTS — hazard screeningUS Census ACS / TIGER 2024
Verified Price · Median Sale
$769,771
YoY-5.2%
Gross Rental Yield
4.3%
Listed rent · ZORI annualized
Red Flag Index
Moderate
44 / 100
Walkability Score
64
Somewhat Walkable
OpenStreetMap POI density · national percentile
Education Score
56 / 100
Good · better than 56% of U.S. districts
Pre-pandemic SEDA (2018/19) · district proxy
AI Score
49
Fair
DistrictScore attractiveness · national model
Otay Property Prices & Rental Yield
Verified Redfin sale data and Zillow ZORI asking rent for Otay, Chula Vista.
Market Trend (12-Month)
12 Months
$780K$768K$755K$743K$730K
Verified Sale Price (Median)
Jun '25May '26
Verified = Redfin median sale price (MLS). Rolling 3-month series.
Unlock the Otay 12-month price trend
See the full Verified vs Listed price history — free with a DistrictScore account.
FEMA National Risk Index composite across eight hazards, plus inherited California crime context.
Red Flag Breakdown
44 / 100
Moderate Risk
Composite is weighted by expected impact — frequent low-damage hazards (hail, wind) weigh less than flood or wildfire.
Earthquake100Very High
Flood60High
Wildfire40Moderate
Heat40Moderate
Hurricane20Low
Tornado20Low
Strong Wind20Low
Hail20Low
8/8 hazards scored · FEMA NRI v1.20
Crime (state-level): California averaged 25.6 crimes and 4.9 violent per 1,000 residents (-8.9% YoY) in 2024(FBI UCR). Compare the state to the country, not states as a ranking — full Safety & Crime data lives on the state page.
Active transaction volume — 99 homes sold last period
Earthquake risk is Very High (100/100)
Insights are generated from Otay's live DistrictScore metrics.
Otay Environment & Safety
Satellite PM2.5 air-quality history, FBI UCR crime trend (California-level, the finest official aggregation), EPA radon potential and point-source hazard screening.
Air Quality — PM2.5
2015–2024
6.2 µg/m³ Meets EPA, above WHO guideline-14.6% since 2015
9.57.86.24.5
EPA 9WHO 5
20152024
Annual mean fine-particle (PM2.5) concentration at the Otay centroid, satellite-derived (ACAG). References: WHO guideline 5 µg/m³ · EPA annual standard 9 µg/m³. Latest year ranks worse than 57% of U.S. neighborhoods.
California Crime Trend
FBI UCR
31150
20132024
All crimes / 1k
Violent / 1k
Year
Crimes / 1k
Violent / 1k
YoY
2024
25.6
4.9
-8.9%
2023
28.3
5.1
-0.7%
2022
28.6
5.0
+8.0%
2021
26.5
4.8
+1.9%
2020
25.8
4.4
-7.3%
2019
27.8
4.4
—
Reported at the state level — the finest official US crime aggregation; Otay inherits the California figures.
Radon Potential
EPA
Zone 3
Zone 3 — Lowest potential · Otay
EPA radon zones estimate indoor radon potential county-wide (Zone 1 highest, Zone 3 lowest). Testing is recommended in all zones.
Environmental Hazards
EPA / BTS
Industrial odor11 nearbyVery High
Aviation noise47 dBVery Low
Point-source screening near Otay: EPA Superfund National Priorities List & Facility Registry (2026), BTS aviation noise (2020, 24-hour average level). Superfund shows distance to the nearest listed site; odor shows detected sources within the screening radius. Only detected sources are listed; the bar shows severity vs. all U.S. neighborhoods.
Walkability & Amenities in Otay
Amenity density and pedestrian access from OpenStreetMap points of interest.
Walkability & Amenities
OpenStreetMap POI
64
Somewhat Walkable
Walkability Score
20
Grocery
10
Dining
12
Schools
0
Universities
1
Hospitals
2
Pharmacies
28
Parks
0
Rail Transit
0
Coworking
POI counts are amenities within Otay's boundary plus a 400 m walk buffer. Rail transit excludes bus stops.
Otay vs Chula Vista vs California
How Otay benchmarks against its city and state medians.
Benchmark vs City & State
In Otay, the median sale price sits in line with the median for Chula Vista neighborhoods and about 12% below the statewide median. Gross rental yield is 4.3%, against 4.3% for Chula Vista neighborhoods and 3.7% statewide. Over the past 12 months, prices fell 5.2%. Transaction liquidity sits in line with the median for Chula Vista neighborhoods and above the statewide median.
Otay, Chula Vista, California shows a balanced profile with gross yield of 4.3% and prices down 5.2% over the past year. Pricing is in line with the city median and about 12% below the state median, while the Red Flag score is 44 and walkability is 64.
Neighborhoods near Otay
Compare Otay with nearby neighborhoods in Chula Vista.