Neighborhood
Carrillo Ranch
Chandler, Arizona US
Carrillo Ranch, Chandler, Arizona is a mid-walkability neighborhood with moderate pricing, a 4.3% gross yield, and a softer recent price trend. Prices are about 6% above the city median and 15% above the state median, while prices fell 3.5% over the past year. The Red Flag score of 56 indicates moderate overall risk, and education in the 87th percentile is a clear strength relative to the other scores.
AI Summary•Updated May 2026
Area
0.09 mi²
ZIP Code
85226
County
Maricopa County
State
Arizona
Redfin — median sale & volumeZillow ZORI — asking rentFEMA National Risk Index v1.20OpenStreetMap — POIFBI UCR — state crimeEPA — radon zonesWashU ACAG — satellite PM2.5US Census ACS / TIGER 2024
Verified Price · Median Sale
$514,847
YoY-3.5%
Gross Rental Yield
4.3%
Listed rent · ZORI annualized
Red Flag Index
Moderate
56 / 100
Walkability Score
52
OpenStreetMap POI density · national percentile
Education Score
87 / 100
Pre-pandemic SEDA (2018/19) · district proxy
AI Score
45
DistrictScore attractiveness · national model
Carrillo Ranch Property Prices & Rental Yield
Verified Redfin sale data and Zillow ZORI asking rent for Carrillo Ranch, Chandler.
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Sign in to view — freeMarket Economics Snapshot
May 2026| Metric | Value | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Median Sale Price | $514,847 | -3.5% |
| Price / Sq Ft (Verified) | $294/sqft | -1.5% |
| Asking Rent (Median) | $1,832/mo | +3.9% |
| Gross Rental Yield | 4.3% | — |
| Liquidity Score | 32 / 100 | Low |
| Homes Sold (Period) | 97 | +3.2% |
Is Carrillo Ranch Safe? Natural-Hazard Risk
FEMA National Risk Index composite across eight hazards, plus inherited Arizona crime context.
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Sign in to view — free What Stands Out AI Insight
Active transaction volume — 97 homes sold last period
Heat risk is Very High (100/100)
Flood risk is Very High (80/100)
Insights are generated from Carrillo Ranch's live DistrictScore metrics.
Carrillo Ranch Environment & Safety
Satellite PM2.5 air-quality history, FBI UCR crime trend (Arizona-level, the finest official aggregation), EPA radon potential and point-source hazard screening.
Air Quality — PM2.5
2015–20246.4 µg/m³ Meets EPA, above WHO guideline-10.0% since 2015
EPA 9WHO 5
20152024
Annual mean fine-particle (PM2.5) concentration at the Carrillo Ranch centroid, satellite-derived (ACAG). References: WHO guideline 5 µg/m³ · EPA annual standard 9 µg/m³. Latest year ranks worse than 63% of U.S. neighborhoods.
Arizona Crime Trend
FBI UCR20132024
All crimes / 1k
Violent / 1k
| Year | Crimes / 1k | Violent / 1k | YoY |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 22.1 | 4.2 | -4.8% |
| 2023 | 23.6 | 4.3 | -4.4% |
| 2022 | 25.1 | 4.5 | -0.1% |
| 2021 | 25.4 | 4.3 | -8.3% |
| 2020 | 27.1 | 4.8 | -4.3% |
| 2019 | 28.8 | 4.5 | — |
Reported at the state level — the finest official US crime aggregation; Carrillo Ranch inherits the Arizona figures.
Radon Potential
EPAZone 2
Zone 2 — Moderate potential · Carrillo Ranch
EPA radon zones estimate indoor radon potential county-wide (Zone 1 highest, Zone 3 lowest). Testing is recommended in all zones.
Walkability & Amenities in Carrillo Ranch
Amenity density and pedestrian access from OpenStreetMap points of interest.
Walkability & Amenities
OpenStreetMap POI52
Somewhat Walkable
Walkability Score
0
Grocery
1
Dining
1
Schools
0
Universities
0
Hospitals
0
Pharmacies
3
Parks
1
Rail Transit
0
Coworking
POI counts are amenities within Carrillo Ranch's boundary plus a 400 m walk buffer. Rail transit excludes bus stops.
Carrillo Ranch vs Chandler vs Arizona
How Carrillo Ranch benchmarks against its city and state medians.
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Sign in to view — freeBuying Property in the US as a Foreigner
Federal & Arizona tax facts for non-resident buyers, plus the latest local market news.
Buying as a Foreigner
US Tax & OwnershipApplies to everyone7
Capital Gains (Federal)
Long-term capital gains taxed federally at 0/15/20%, plus a 3.8% Net Investment Income Tax on higher incomes (2026).
Property Tax
Property tax: ~0.43% average effective rate (statewide average; set and collected locally).
State Income Tax
State income tax up to 2.5%; rental income is taxed at these rates.
State Capital Gains
Capital gains are taxed as ordinary income at state rates.
Transfer Tax
Real estate transfer tax: flat $2 per deed.
Assessment Cap
No Proposition 13-style assessment cap; property is reassessed at market value.
Mansion Tax / Rent Control
No statewide mansion tax or statewide rent control.
US citizens & tax residents7
Primary-Home Exclusion
Selling your main home: exclude up to $250k of gain (single) / $500k (married) if you owned and lived there 2 of the last 5 years.
1031 Like-Kind Exchange
A 1031 like-kind exchange defers capital gains tax on investment property; 45 days to identify, 180 to close. Real estate only.
Depreciation Recapture
Residential rentals depreciate over 27.5 years; on sale, recaptured depreciation is taxed up to 25% (Section 1250).
Mortgage Interest Deduction
Mortgage interest is deductible on up to $750k of home debt. The SALT cap rose to $40,000 for 2025-2029 (reverts to $10k in 2030).
Opportunity Zones
Opportunity Zones are now permanent (2025): reinvested capital gains get deferral plus a basis step-up, and are tax-free after 10 years.
Rental Income (Resident)
Rental income is reported on Schedule E; passive-loss rules (Section 469) limit deducting rental losses against other income.
1031 State Conformity
The state conforms to the federal 1031 like-kind exchange rules.
Foreign buyers (non-residents)5
FIRPTA (Foreign Sellers)
FIRPTA: the buyer withholds 15% of the gross sale price when a nonresident sells US property. It is an advance deposit, not the final tax.
Non-Resident Capital Gains
Nonresident sellers pay US capital gains tax (generally 15-20%) on the net gain via Form 1040-NR; FIRPTA withholding is credited.
Non-Resident Rental Tax
Nonresident rental income is taxed at 30% of gross by default, or on net income at graduated rates via a Section 871(d) election (W-8ECI).
Estate Tax (Non-Resident)
Nonresidents get only a $60,000 US estate-tax exemption (vs $13.99M for residents); US property above it is taxed up to 40%. Treaties may help.
ITIN Requirement
Nonresidents without an SSN need an ITIN (Form W-7) to file US tax returns, claim FIRPTA refunds, and report rental income.
Talk to a US real-estate tax advisor
FIRPTA, ITIN & Arizona property-tax guidance for foreign buyers
Carrillo Ranch Real Estate FAQ
Carrillo Ranch, Chandler, Arizona has a mixed profile. Gross yield is 4.3%, prices are about 6% above the city median and 15% above the state median, and prices fell 3.5% over the past year. The Red Flag score is 56, with walkability of 52 and education in the 87th percentile.
Neighborhoods near Carrillo Ranch
Compare Carrillo Ranch with nearby neighborhoods in Chandler.
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