What is the rental yield in Timber Bay Estates, Maple Grove, Minnesota?

The gross yield in Timber Bay Estates, Maple Grove, Minnesota is 5.6%. Prices are about 5% above Maple Grove and about 4% below Minnesota, while prices are down 0.9% over the past year. The Red Flag score is 56.

How has Timber Bay Estates, Maple Grove, Minnesota performed over the past year?

Prices in Timber Bay Estates, Maple Grove, Minnesota are down 0.9% over the past year. The neighborhood is about 5% above Maple Grove and about 4% below Minnesota, with a gross yield of 5.6%. The Red Flag score is 56.

How does Timber Bay Estates compare with Maple Grove and Minnesota?

Timber Bay Estates, Maple Grove, Minnesota is about 5% above Maple Grove and about 4% below Minnesota. It has a gross yield of 5.6%, walkability of 56, education in the 62nd percentile, and a Red Flag score of 56. Prices are down 0.9% over the past year.

Neighborhood

Timber Bay Estates

Maple Grove, Minnesota US

Timber Bay Estates, Maple Grove, Minnesota has a moderate investment profile with pricing about 5% above Maple Grove and about 4% below Minnesota. It posts a gross yield of 5.6% and prices are down 0.9% over the past year, suggesting a relatively stable trend. The neighborhood has walkability of 56, education in the 62nd percentile, and a Red Flag score of 56.

AI Summary•Updated May 2026

Area

9.23 mi²

ZIP Code

55369

County

Hennepin County

State

Minnesota

Redfin — median sale & volumeZillow ZORI — asking rentFEMA National Risk Index v1.20OpenStreetMap — POIFBI UCR — state crimeEPA — radon zonesWashU ACAG — satellite PM2.5EPA FRS / BTS — hazard screeningUS Census ACS / TIGER 2024

Verified Price · Median Sale

$429,872

YoY-0.9%

Gross Rental Yield

5.6%

Listed rent · ZORI annualized

Red Flag Index

Moderate

56 / 100

Walkability Score

Somewhat Walkable

OpenStreetMap POI density · national percentile

Education Score

62 / 100

Good · better than 62% of U.S. districts

Pre-pandemic SEDA (2018/19) · district proxy

AI Score

Fair

DistrictScore attractiveness · national model

Timber Bay Estates Property Prices & Rental Yield

Verified Redfin sale data and Zillow ZORI asking rent for Timber Bay Estates, Maple Grove.

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Market Economics Snapshot

May 2026

Metric	Value	YoY
Median Sale Price	$429,872	-0.9%
Price / Sq Ft (Verified)	$207/sqft	+2.7%
Asking Rent (Median)	$2,008/mo	+3.6%
Gross Rental Yield	5.6%	—
Liquidity Score	44 / 100	Moderate
Homes Sold (Period)	185	-19.2%

Is Timber Bay Estates Safe? Natural-Hazard Risk

FEMA National Risk Index composite across eight hazards, plus inherited Minnesota crime context.

Red Flag Breakdown

56 / 100

Moderate Risk

Composite is weighted by expected impact — frequent low-damage hazards (hail, wind) weigh less than flood or wildfire.

Hail100Very High

Tornado80Very High

Heat80Very High

Wildfire60High

Strong Wind60High

Flood40Moderate

Earthquake20Low

Hurricanen/an/a

7/8 hazards scored · FEMA NRI v1.20

Crime (state-level): Minnesota averaged 18.6 crimes and 2.6 violent per 1,000 residents (-4.8% YoY) in 2024(FBI UCR). Compare the state to the country, not states as a ranking — full Safety & Crime data lives on the state page.

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Tract-level hazard heatmap & parcel detail with Pro

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What Stands Out AI Insight

Above-average gross rental yield at 5.6%

Active transaction volume — 185 homes sold last period

Dense amenities — 39 dining & 8 grocery options nearby

Hail risk is Very High (100/100)

Tornado risk is Very High (80/100)

Insights are generated from Timber Bay Estates's live DistrictScore metrics.

Timber Bay Estates Environment & Safety

Satellite PM2.5 air-quality history, FBI UCR crime trend (Minnesota-level, the finest official aggregation), EPA radon potential and point-source hazard screening.

Air Quality — PM2.5

2015–2024

7.6 µg/m³ Meets EPA, above WHO guideline+0.8% since 2015

EPA 9WHO 5

20152024

Annual mean fine-particle (PM2.5) concentration at the Timber Bay Estates centroid, satellite-derived (ACAG). References: WHO guideline 5 µg/m³ · EPA annual standard 9 µg/m³. Latest year ranks worse than 93% of U.S. neighborhoods.

Minnesota Crime Trend

FBI UCR

20132024

All crimes / 1k

Violent / 1k

Year	Crimes / 1k	Violent / 1k	YoY
2024	18.6	2.6	-4.8%
2023	19.7	2.6	-12.3%
2022	22.6	2.8	-3.9%
2021	23.5	3.1	-1.1%
2020	24.0	2.8	+3.5%
2019	23.3	2.4	—

Reported at the state level — the finest official US crime aggregation; Timber Bay Estates inherits the Minnesota figures.

Radon Potential

EPA

Zone 1

Zone 1 — Highest potential · Timber Bay Estates

EPA radon zones estimate indoor radon potential county-wide (Zone 1 highest, Zone 3 lowest). Testing is recommended in all zones.

Environmental Hazards

EPA / BTS

Industrial odor5 nearbyVery High

Point-source screening near Timber Bay Estates: EPA Superfund National Priorities List & Facility Registry (2026), BTS aviation noise (2020, 24-hour average level). Superfund shows distance to the nearest listed site; odor shows detected sources within the screening radius. Only detected sources are listed; the bar shows severity vs. all U.S. neighborhoods.

Walkability & Amenities in Timber Bay Estates

Amenity density and pedestrian access from OpenStreetMap points of interest.

Walkability & Amenities

OpenStreetMap POI

56

Somewhat Walkable

Walkability Score

8

Grocery

39

Dining

5

Schools

1

Universities

4

Hospitals

3

Pharmacies

28

Parks

1

Rail Transit

0

Coworking

POI counts are amenities within Timber Bay Estates's boundary plus a 400 m walk buffer. Rail transit excludes bus stops.

Timber Bay Estates vs Maple Grove vs Minnesota

How Timber Bay Estates benchmarks against its city and state medians.

Benchmark vs City & State

Across Timber Bay Estates, the median sale price sits about 5% above the median for Maple Grove neighborhoods and in line with the statewide median. Gross rental yield is 5.6%, against 6.1% for Maple Grove neighborhoods and 5.5% statewide. Over the past 12 months, prices fell 0.9%. Transaction liquidity sits above the median for Maple Grove neighborhoods and above the statewide median.

Area	Median / Sq Ft	Gross Yield	Liquidity
Timber Bay Estates	$207/sqft	5.6%	44
Maple Grove	$196/sqft	6.1%	40
Minnesota	$209/sqft	5.5%	32

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Buying Property in the US as a Foreigner

Federal & Minnesota tax facts for non-resident buyers, plus the latest local market news.

Buying as a Foreigner

US Tax & Ownership

Applies to everyone7

Capital Gains (Federal)

Long-term capital gains taxed federally at 0/15/20%, plus a 3.8% Net Investment Income Tax on higher incomes (2026).

Property Tax

Property tax: ~0.99% average effective rate (statewide average; set and collected locally).

State Income Tax

State income tax up to 9.85%; rental income is taxed at these rates.

State Capital Gains

Capital gains are taxed as ordinary income at state rates.

Transfer Tax

Real estate transfer tax: deed tax 0.33%.

Assessment Cap

No Proposition 13-style assessment cap; property is reassessed at market value.

Mansion Tax / Rent Control

No statewide mansion tax or statewide rent control.

US citizens & tax residents7

Primary-Home Exclusion

Selling your main home: exclude up to $250k of gain (single) / $500k (married) if you owned and lived there 2 of the last 5 years.

1031 Like-Kind Exchange

A 1031 like-kind exchange defers capital gains tax on investment property; 45 days to identify, 180 to close. Real estate only.

Depreciation Recapture

Residential rentals depreciate over 27.5 years; on sale, recaptured depreciation is taxed up to 25% (Section 1250).

Mortgage Interest Deduction

Mortgage interest is deductible on up to $750k of home debt. The SALT cap rose to $40,000 for 2025-2029 (reverts to $10k in 2030).

Opportunity Zones

Opportunity Zones are now permanent (2025): reinvested capital gains get deferral plus a basis step-up, and are tax-free after 10 years.

Rental Income (Resident)

Rental income is reported on Schedule E; passive-loss rules (Section 469) limit deducting rental losses against other income.

1031 State Conformity

The state conforms to the federal 1031 like-kind exchange rules.

Foreign buyers (non-residents)5

FIRPTA (Foreign Sellers)

FIRPTA: the buyer withholds 15% of the gross sale price when a nonresident sells US property. It is an advance deposit, not the final tax.

Non-Resident Capital Gains

Nonresident sellers pay US capital gains tax (generally 15-20%) on the net gain via Form 1040-NR; FIRPTA withholding is credited.

Non-Resident Rental Tax

Nonresident rental income is taxed at 30% of gross by default, or on net income at graduated rates via a Section 871(d) election (W-8ECI).

Estate Tax (Non-Resident)

Nonresidents get only a $60,000 US estate-tax exemption (vs $13.99M for residents); US property above it is taxed up to 40%. Treaties may help.

ITIN Requirement

Nonresidents without an SSN need an ITIN (Form W-7) to file US tax returns, claim FIRPTA refunds, and report rental income.

Talk to a US real-estate tax advisor

FIRPTA, ITIN & Minnesota property-tax guidance for foreign buyers

Latest Maple Grove Real-Estate News

New Fed chairman may leave mortgage rates mostly unchanged

Guaranteed Rate • Jun 18, 2026

Household real estate wealth hits record $48.7 trillion

Eye On Housing • Jun 18, 2026

U.S. commercial property prices hit record as deal patterns shift

Altus Group • Jun 18, 2026

Timber Bay Estates Real Estate FAQ

Timber Bay Estates, Maple Grove, Minnesota shows a moderate profile. Pricing is about 5% above Maple Grove and about 4% below Minnesota, gross yield is 5.6%, and prices are down 0.9% over the past year. The Red Flag score is 56, with walkability of 56 and education in the 62nd percentile.

Neighborhoods near Timber Bay Estates

Compare Timber Bay Estates with nearby neighborhoods in Maple Grove.

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