What is the rental yield in Tempe Junction, Tempe, Arizona?

The gross rental yield in Tempe Junction, Tempe, Arizona is 4.5%. That sits alongside prices in line with Tempe and 20% above Arizona, plus a 0.6% rise over the past year. The Red Flag score is 53, so the risk reading is midrange.

How does Tempe Junction compare with Tempe and Arizona?

Tempe Junction, Tempe, Arizona is in line with Tempe and 20% above Arizona on price. It also has walkability of 97 and education in the 22nd percentile. Gross yield is 4.5%, and prices have moved up 0.6% over the past year.

What are the main strengths of Tempe Junction, Tempe, Arizona?

Tempe Junction, Tempe, Arizona stands out for walkability of 97, which is the highest walkability score in this set. Prices have also moved up 0.6% over the past year, and gross yield is 4.5%. The Red Flag score is 53, indicating a moderate risk reading.

What risks should I note in Tempe Junction, Tempe, Arizona?

Tempe Junction, Tempe, Arizona has a Red Flag score of 53 and education in the 22nd percentile. Prices are 20% above Arizona, which may limit entry value, and gross yield is 4.5%. The recent price change is only 0.6% over the past year.

Neighborhood

Tempe Junction

Tempe, Arizona US

Tempe Junction, Tempe, Arizona has a balanced profile with strong walkability, modest price growth, and midrange risk. Prices are in line with Tempe and 20% above Arizona, while gross yield is 4.5% and prices have moved up 0.6% over the past year. The Red Flag score is 53, walkability is 97, and education is in the 22nd percentile, so the main strength is access and the main risk is the middling risk score and lower school-test percentile.

AI Summary•Updated May 2026

Area

12.17 mi²

ZIP Code

85281

County

Maricopa County

State

Arizona

Redfin — median sale & volumeZillow ZORI — asking rentFEMA National Risk Index v1.20OpenStreetMap — POIFBI UCR — state crimeEPA — radon zonesWashU ACAG — satellite PM2.5EPA FRS / BTS — hazard screeningUS Census ACS / TIGER 2024

Verified Price · Median Sale

$449,866

YoY+0.6%

Gross Rental Yield

4.5%

Listed rent · ZORI annualized

Red Flag Index

Moderate

53 / 100

Walkability Score

Walker's Paradise

OpenStreetMap POI density · national percentile

Education Score

22 / 100

Limited · better than 22% of U.S. districts

Pre-pandemic SEDA (2018/19) · district proxy

AI Score

Fair

DistrictScore attractiveness · national model

Tempe Junction Property Prices & Rental Yield

Verified Redfin sale data and Zillow ZORI asking rent for Tempe Junction, Tempe.

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Market Economics Snapshot

May 2026

Metric	Value	YoY
Median Sale Price	$449,866	+0.6%
Price / Sq Ft (Verified)	$308/sqft	-3.7%
Asking Rent (Median)	$1,667/mo	-0.6%
Gross Rental Yield	4.5%	—
Liquidity Score	28 / 100	Low
Homes Sold (Period)	75	+23.0%

Is Tempe Junction Safe? Natural-Hazard Risk

FEMA National Risk Index composite across eight hazards, plus inherited Arizona crime context.

Red Flag Breakdown

53 / 100

Moderate Risk

Composite is weighted by expected impact — frequent low-damage hazards (hail, wind) weigh less than flood or wildfire.

Heat100Very High

Flood80Very High

Hail80Very High

Earthquake60High

Wildfire40Moderate

Strong Wind40Moderate

Hurricane20Low

Tornado20Low

8/8 hazards scored · FEMA NRI v1.20

Crime (state-level): Arizona averaged 22.1 crimes and 4.2 violent per 1,000 residents (-4.8% YoY) in 2024(FBI UCR). Compare the state to the country, not states as a ranking — full Safety & Crime data lives on the state page.

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Tract-level hazard heatmap & parcel detail with Pro

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What Stands Out AI Insight

Highly walkable neighborhood — score 97/100

Active transaction volume — 75 homes sold last period

Dense amenities — 188 dining & 48 grocery options nearby

Heat risk is Very High (100/100)

Flood risk is Very High (80/100)

Insights are generated from Tempe Junction's live DistrictScore metrics.

Tempe Junction Environment & Safety

Satellite PM2.5 air-quality history, FBI UCR crime trend (Arizona-level, the finest official aggregation), EPA radon potential and point-source hazard screening.

Air Quality — PM2.5

2015–2024

6.6 µg/m³ Meets EPA, above WHO guideline-11.8% since 2015

EPA 9WHO 5

20152024

Annual mean fine-particle (PM2.5) concentration at the Tempe Junction centroid, satellite-derived (ACAG). References: WHO guideline 5 µg/m³ · EPA annual standard 9 µg/m³. Latest year ranks worse than 71% of U.S. neighborhoods.

Arizona Crime Trend

FBI UCR

20132024

All crimes / 1k

Violent / 1k

Year	Crimes / 1k	Violent / 1k	YoY
2024	22.1	4.2	-4.8%
2023	23.6	4.3	-4.4%
2022	25.1	4.5	-0.1%
2021	25.4	4.3	-8.3%
2020	27.1	4.8	-4.3%
2019	28.8	4.5	—

Reported at the state level — the finest official US crime aggregation; Tempe Junction inherits the Arizona figures.

Radon Potential

EPA

Zone 2

Zone 2 — Moderate potential · Tempe Junction

EPA radon zones estimate indoor radon potential county-wide (Zone 1 highest, Zone 3 lowest). Testing is recommended in all zones.

Environmental Hazards

EPA / BTS

Superfund (NPL)1.5 kmHigh

Industrial odor7 nearbyVery High

Aviation noise60 dBModerate

Point-source screening near Tempe Junction: EPA Superfund National Priorities List & Facility Registry (2026), BTS aviation noise (2020, 24-hour average level). Superfund shows distance to the nearest listed site; odor shows detected sources within the screening radius. Only detected sources are listed; the bar shows severity vs. all U.S. neighborhoods.

Walkability & Amenities in Tempe Junction

Amenity density and pedestrian access from OpenStreetMap points of interest.

Walkability & Amenities

OpenStreetMap POI

97

Walker's Paradise

Walkability Score

48

Grocery

188

Dining

14

Schools

9

Universities

18

Hospitals

4

Pharmacies

66

Parks

32

Rail Transit

3

Coworking

POI counts are amenities within Tempe Junction's boundary plus a 400 m walk buffer. Rail transit excludes bus stops.

Tempe Junction vs Tempe vs Arizona

How Tempe Junction benchmarks against its city and state medians.

Benchmark vs City & State

Across Tempe Junction, the median sale price sits in line with the median for Tempe neighborhoods and about 20% above the statewide median. Gross rental yield is 4.5%, against 4.5% for Tempe neighborhoods and 4.8% statewide. Over the past 12 months, prices rose 0.6%. Transaction liquidity sits in line with the median for Tempe neighborhoods and below the statewide median.

Area	Median / Sq Ft	Gross Yield	Liquidity
Tempe Junction	$308/sqft	4.5%	28
Tempe	$306/sqft	4.5%	28
Arizona	$256/sqft	4.8%	39

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Buying Property in the US as a Foreigner

Federal & Arizona tax facts for non-resident buyers, plus the latest local market news.

Buying as a Foreigner

US Tax & Ownership

Applies to everyone7

Capital Gains (Federal)

Long-term capital gains taxed federally at 0/15/20%, plus a 3.8% Net Investment Income Tax on higher incomes (2026).

Property Tax

Property tax: ~0.43% average effective rate (statewide average; set and collected locally).

State Income Tax

State income tax up to 2.5%; rental income is taxed at these rates.

State Capital Gains

Capital gains are taxed as ordinary income at state rates.

Transfer Tax

Real estate transfer tax: flat $2 per deed.

Assessment Cap

No Proposition 13-style assessment cap; property is reassessed at market value.

Mansion Tax / Rent Control

No statewide mansion tax or statewide rent control.

US citizens & tax residents7

Primary-Home Exclusion

Selling your main home: exclude up to $250k of gain (single) / $500k (married) if you owned and lived there 2 of the last 5 years.

1031 Like-Kind Exchange

A 1031 like-kind exchange defers capital gains tax on investment property; 45 days to identify, 180 to close. Real estate only.

Depreciation Recapture

Residential rentals depreciate over 27.5 years; on sale, recaptured depreciation is taxed up to 25% (Section 1250).

Mortgage Interest Deduction

Mortgage interest is deductible on up to $750k of home debt. The SALT cap rose to $40,000 for 2025-2029 (reverts to $10k in 2030).

Opportunity Zones

Opportunity Zones are now permanent (2025): reinvested capital gains get deferral plus a basis step-up, and are tax-free after 10 years.

Rental Income (Resident)

Rental income is reported on Schedule E; passive-loss rules (Section 469) limit deducting rental losses against other income.

1031 State Conformity

The state conforms to the federal 1031 like-kind exchange rules.

Foreign buyers (non-residents)5

FIRPTA (Foreign Sellers)

FIRPTA: the buyer withholds 15% of the gross sale price when a nonresident sells US property. It is an advance deposit, not the final tax.

Non-Resident Capital Gains

Nonresident sellers pay US capital gains tax (generally 15-20%) on the net gain via Form 1040-NR; FIRPTA withholding is credited.

Non-Resident Rental Tax

Nonresident rental income is taxed at 30% of gross by default, or on net income at graduated rates via a Section 871(d) election (W-8ECI).

Estate Tax (Non-Resident)

Nonresidents get only a $60,000 US estate-tax exemption (vs $13.99M for residents); US property above it is taxed up to 40%. Treaties may help.

ITIN Requirement

Nonresidents without an SSN need an ITIN (Form W-7) to file US tax returns, claim FIRPTA refunds, and report rental income.

Talk to a US real-estate tax advisor

FIRPTA, ITIN & Arizona property-tax guidance for foreign buyers

Latest Tempe Real-Estate News

New Fed chairman may leave mortgage rates mostly unchanged

Guaranteed Rate • Jun 18, 2026

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Eye On Housing • Jun 18, 2026

U.S. commercial property prices hit record as deal patterns shift

Altus Group • Jun 18, 2026

Tempe Junction Real Estate FAQ

Tempe Junction, Tempe, Arizona shows a balanced profile with strong access metrics. Prices are in line with Tempe and 20% above Arizona, gross yield is 4.5%, and prices have moved up 0.6% over the past year. The Red Flag score is 53.

Neighborhoods near Tempe Junction

Compare Tempe Junction with nearby neighborhoods in Tempe.

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