Lost Creek, Austin, Texas is a premium-priced, lower-yield investment profile, with pricing about 22% above Austin and about 119% above Texas, a gross yield of 2.5%, and prices down 12.4% over the past year. The neighborhood has a Red Flag score of 70, walkability of 34, and education in the 46th percentile, so the numbers show a high risk reading, weak yield, and a sizable recent price decline.
AI Summary•Updated May 2026
Area
8.41 mi²
ZIP Code
78735
County
Travis County
State
Texas
Redfin — median sale & volumeZillow ZORI — asking rentFEMA National Risk Index v1.20OpenStreetMap — POIFBI UCR — state crimeEPA — radon zonesWashU ACAG — satellite PM2.5EPA FRS / BTS — hazard screeningUS Census ACS / TIGER 2024
Verified Price · Median Sale
$834,752
YoY-12.4%
Gross Rental Yield
2.5%
Listed rent · ZORI annualized
Red Flag Index
High
70 / 100
Walkability Score
34
Car-Dependent
OpenStreetMap POI density · national percentile
Education Score
46 / 100
Fair · better than 46% of U.S. districts
Pre-pandemic SEDA (2018/19) · district proxy
AI Score
28
Limited
DistrictScore attractiveness · national model
Lost Creek Property Prices & Rental Yield
Verified Redfin sale data and Zillow ZORI asking rent for Lost Creek, Austin.
Market Trend (12-Month)
12 Months
$978K$926K$873K$820K$767K
Verified Sale Price (Median)
Jun '25May '26
Verified = Redfin median sale price (MLS). Rolling 3-month series.
Unlock the Lost Creek 12-month price trend
See the full Verified vs Listed price history — free with a DistrictScore account.
FEMA National Risk Index composite across eight hazards, plus inherited Texas crime context.
Red Flag Breakdown
70 / 100
High Risk
Composite is weighted by expected impact — frequent low-damage hazards (hail, wind) weigh less than flood or wildfire.
Wildfire100Very High
Tornado100Very High
Hail100Very High
Heat80Very High
Flood60High
Hurricane60High
Strong Wind60High
Earthquake20Low
8/8 hazards scored · FEMA NRI v1.20
Crime (state-level): Texas averaged 24.3 crimes and 3.9 violent per 1,000 residents (-6.2% YoY) in 2024(FBI UCR). Compare the state to the country, not states as a ranking — full Safety & Crime data lives on the state page.
Active transaction volume — 53 homes sold last period
Wildfire risk is Very High (100/100)
Tornado risk is Very High (100/100)
Insights are generated from Lost Creek's live DistrictScore metrics.
Lost Creek Environment & Safety
Satellite PM2.5 air-quality history, FBI UCR crime trend (Texas-level, the finest official aggregation), EPA radon potential and point-source hazard screening.
Air Quality — PM2.5
2015–2024
7.4 µg/m³ Meets EPA, above WHO guideline+24.7% since 2015
10.08.26.34.5
EPA 9WHO 5
20152024
Annual mean fine-particle (PM2.5) concentration at the Lost Creek centroid, satellite-derived (ACAG). References: WHO guideline 5 µg/m³ · EPA annual standard 9 µg/m³. Latest year ranks worse than 90% of U.S. neighborhoods.
Texas Crime Trend
FBI UCR
37180
20132024
All crimes / 1k
Violent / 1k
Year
Crimes / 1k
Violent / 1k
YoY
2024
24.3
3.9
-6.2%
2023
26.4
4.1
-1.7%
2022
27.4
4.4
+6.3%
2021
26.3
4.5
-1.8%
2020
26.9
4.5
-3.6%
2019
28.3
4.2
—
Reported at the state level — the finest official US crime aggregation; Lost Creek inherits the Texas figures.
Radon Potential
EPA
Zone 3
Zone 3 — Lowest potential · Lost Creek
EPA radon zones estimate indoor radon potential county-wide (Zone 1 highest, Zone 3 lowest). Testing is recommended in all zones.
Environmental Hazards
EPA / BTS
Industrial odor2 nearbyVery High
Point-source screening near Lost Creek: EPA Superfund National Priorities List & Facility Registry (2026), BTS aviation noise (2020, 24-hour average level). Superfund shows distance to the nearest listed site; odor shows detected sources within the screening radius. Only detected sources are listed; the bar shows severity vs. all U.S. neighborhoods.
Walkability & Amenities in Lost Creek
Amenity density and pedestrian access from OpenStreetMap points of interest.
Walkability & Amenities
OpenStreetMap POI
34
Car-Dependent
Walkability Score
3
Grocery
15
Dining
5
Schools
0
Universities
5
Hospitals
1
Pharmacies
9
Parks
0
Rail Transit
0
Coworking
POI counts are amenities within Lost Creek's boundary plus a 400 m walk buffer. Rail transit excludes bus stops.
Lost Creek vs Austin vs Texas
How Lost Creek benchmarks against its city and state medians.
Benchmark vs City & State
In Lost Creek, the median sale price sits about 22% above the median for Austin neighborhoods and about 119% above the statewide median. Gross rental yield is 2.5%, against 3.8% for Austin neighborhoods and 5.4% statewide. Over the past 12 months, prices fell 12.4%. Transaction liquidity sits below the median for Austin neighborhoods and below the statewide median.
Lost Creek, Austin, Texas has a premium-priced, lower-yield profile. Pricing is about 22% above Austin and about 119% above Texas, gross yield is 2.5%, and prices are down 12.4% over the past year. The Red Flag score is 70, with walkability of 34 and education in the 46th percentile.
Neighborhoods near Lost Creek
Compare Lost Creek with nearby neighborhoods in Austin.