What is the rental yield in Lincoln Estates?

The gross yield in Lincoln Estates is 5.4. Prices are about 15% above Gainesville and in line with Florida, and the neighborhood saw a 2.4 decline over the past year. Walkability is 85, education is in the 61st percentile, and the Red Flag score is 59.

How has pricing changed in Lincoln Estates over the past year?

Prices in Lincoln Estates declined 2.4 over the past year. Even with that move, prices remain about 15% above Gainesville and in line with Florida. Gross yield is 5.4, walkability is 85, and the Red Flag score is 59.

How does Lincoln Estates compare with Gainesville and Florida?

Lincoln Estates is about 15% above Gainesville and in line with Florida on price. It has a gross yield of 5.4, walkability of 85, and education in the 61st percentile. The Red Flag score is 59, and prices declined 2.4 over the past year.

What are the walkability and education scores in Lincoln Estates?

Lincoln Estates has walkability of 85 and education in the 61st percentile. Those scores sit alongside a gross yield of 5.4 and prices that are about 15% above Gainesville and in line with Florida. The Red Flag score is 59, with prices down 2.4 over the past year.

Neighborhood

Lincoln Estates

Gainesville, Florida US

Lincoln Estates in Gainesville, Florida is a higher-priced, lower-yield neighborhood with prices about 15% above Gainesville and in line with Florida, a gross yield of 5.4, and a Red Flag score of 59. Over the past year, prices declined 2.4. Walkability is 85 and education is in the 61st percentile, which supports day-to-day accessibility, while the price trend and moderate Red Flag score temper the profile.

AI Summary•Updated May 2026

Area

10.03 mi²

ZIP Code

32601

County

Alachua County

State

Florida

Redfin — median sale & volumeZillow ZORI — asking rentFEMA National Risk Index v1.20OpenStreetMap — POIFBI UCR — state crimeEPA — radon zonesWashU ACAG — satellite PM2.5EPA FRS / BTS — hazard screeningUS Census ACS / TIGER 2024

Verified Price · Median Sale

$337,400

YoY-2.4%

Gross Rental Yield

5.3%

Listed rent · ZORI annualized

Red Flag Index

Moderate

59 / 100

Walkability Score

Very Walkable

OpenStreetMap POI density · national percentile

Education Score

61 / 100

Good · better than 61% of U.S. districts

Pre-pandemic SEDA (2018/19) · district proxy

AI Score

Fair

DistrictScore attractiveness · national model

Lincoln Estates Property Prices & Rental Yield

Verified Redfin sale data and Zillow ZORI asking rent for Lincoln Estates, Gainesville.

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Market Economics Snapshot

May 2026

Metric	Value	YoY
Median Sale Price	$337,400	-2.4%
Price / Sq Ft (Verified)	$233/sqft	+7.8%
Asking Rent (Median)	$1,505/mo	+8.7%
Gross Rental Yield	5.3%	—
Liquidity Score	20 / 100	Low
Homes Sold (Period)	39	-32.8%

Is Lincoln Estates Safe? Natural-Hazard Risk

FEMA National Risk Index composite across eight hazards, plus inherited Florida crime context.

Red Flag Breakdown

59 / 100

Moderate Risk

Composite is weighted by expected impact — frequent low-damage hazards (hail, wind) weigh less than flood or wildfire.

Hurricane100Very High

Tornado80Very High

Wildfire60High

Heat60High

Strong Wind60High

Flood40Moderate

Earthquake40Moderate

Hail20Low

8/8 hazards scored · FEMA NRI v1.20

Crime (state-level): Florida averaged 16.9 crimes and 2.7 violent per 1,000 residents (-4.5% YoY) in 2024(FBI UCR). Compare the state to the country, not states as a ranking — full Safety & Crime data lives on the state page.

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Tract-level hazard heatmap & parcel detail with Pro

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See all eight FEMA hazard scores — free with a DistrictScore account.

What Stands Out AI Insight

Above-average gross rental yield at 5.3%

Highly walkable neighborhood — score 85/100

Dense amenities — 88 dining & 20 grocery options nearby

Hurricane risk is Very High (100/100)

Tornado risk is Very High (80/100)

Insights are generated from Lincoln Estates's live DistrictScore metrics.

Lincoln Estates Environment & Safety

Satellite PM2.5 air-quality history, FBI UCR crime trend (Florida-level, the finest official aggregation), EPA radon potential and point-source hazard screening.

Air Quality — PM2.5

2015–2024

6.0 µg/m³ Meets EPA, above WHO guideline+14.1% since 2015

EPA 9WHO 5

20152024

Annual mean fine-particle (PM2.5) concentration at the Lincoln Estates centroid, satellite-derived (ACAG). References: WHO guideline 5 µg/m³ · EPA annual standard 9 µg/m³. Latest year ranks worse than 52% of U.S. neighborhoods.

Florida Crime Trend

FBI UCR

20132024

All crimes / 1k

Violent / 1k

Year	Crimes / 1k	Violent / 1k	YoY
2024	16.9	2.7	-4.5%
2023	18.0	2.9	-2.3%
2022	19.0	2.9	+4.4%
2021	18.6	3.4	-13.5%
2020	21.5	3.8	-13.7%
2019	25.2	3.8	—

Reported at the state level — the finest official US crime aggregation; Lincoln Estates inherits the Florida figures.

Radon Potential

EPA

Zone 2

Zone 2 — Moderate potential · Lincoln Estates

EPA radon zones estimate indoor radon potential county-wide (Zone 1 highest, Zone 3 lowest). Testing is recommended in all zones.

Environmental Hazards

EPA / BTS

Superfund (NPL)0.1 kmVery High

Industrial odor11 nearbyVery High

Point-source screening near Lincoln Estates: EPA Superfund National Priorities List & Facility Registry (2026), BTS aviation noise (2020, 24-hour average level). Superfund shows distance to the nearest listed site; odor shows detected sources within the screening radius. Only detected sources are listed; the bar shows severity vs. all U.S. neighborhoods.

Walkability & Amenities in Lincoln Estates

Amenity density and pedestrian access from OpenStreetMap points of interest.

Walkability & Amenities

OpenStreetMap POI

85

Very Walkable

Walkability Score

20

Grocery

88

Dining

24

Schools

4

Universities

5

Hospitals

4

Pharmacies

36

Parks

2

Rail Transit

1

Coworking

POI counts are amenities within Lincoln Estates's boundary plus a 400 m walk buffer. Rail transit excludes bus stops.

Lincoln Estates vs Gainesville vs Florida

How Lincoln Estates benchmarks against its city and state medians.

Benchmark vs City & State

Across Lincoln Estates, the median sale price sits about 15% above the median for Gainesville neighborhoods and in line with the statewide median. Gross rental yield is 5.4%, against 6.6% for Gainesville neighborhoods and 6.2% statewide. Over the past 12 months, prices fell 2.4%. Transaction liquidity sits below the median for Gainesville neighborhoods and below the statewide median.

Area	Median / Sq Ft	Gross Yield	Liquidity
Lincoln Estates	$233/sqft	5.4%	20
Gainesville	$203/sqft	6.6%	29
Florida	$232/sqft	6.2%	36

Unlock the Lincoln Estates benchmark

Compare Lincoln Estates against Gainesville and Florida medians — free with a DistrictScore account.

Buying Property in the US as a Foreigner

Federal & Florida tax facts for non-resident buyers, plus the latest local market news.

Buying as a Foreigner

US Tax & Ownership

Applies to everyone7

Capital Gains (Federal)

Long-term capital gains taxed federally at 0/15/20%, plus a 3.8% Net Investment Income Tax on higher incomes (2026).

Property Tax

Property tax: ~0.76% average effective rate (statewide average; set and collected locally).

State Income Tax

No state income tax — rental income is not taxed at the state level.

State Capital Gains

No state capital gains tax.

Transfer Tax

Real estate transfer tax: documentary stamp $0.70 per $100 ($0.60 in Miami-Dade).

Assessment Cap

Save Our Homes caps homestead assessment growth at 3%/CPI; reassessed to market value on sale.

Mansion Tax / Rent Control

No statewide mansion tax or statewide rent control.

US citizens & tax residents8

Primary-Home Exclusion

Selling your main home: exclude up to $250k of gain (single) / $500k (married) if you owned and lived there 2 of the last 5 years.

1031 Like-Kind Exchange

A 1031 like-kind exchange defers capital gains tax on investment property; 45 days to identify, 180 to close. Real estate only.

Depreciation Recapture

Residential rentals depreciate over 27.5 years; on sale, recaptured depreciation is taxed up to 25% (Section 1250).

Mortgage Interest Deduction

Mortgage interest is deductible on up to $750k of home debt. The SALT cap rose to $40,000 for 2025-2029 (reverts to $10k in 2030).

Opportunity Zones

Opportunity Zones are now permanent (2025): reinvested capital gains get deferral plus a basis step-up, and are tax-free after 10 years.

Rental Income (Resident)

Rental income is reported on Schedule E; passive-loss rules (Section 469) limit deducting rental losses against other income.

Homestead Exemption

Homestead: up to $50,000 off taxable value, plus unlimited protection from most creditors.

Senior & Veteran Exemptions

Extra $50,000 senior exemption plus property-tax discounts for veterans.

Foreign buyers (non-residents)6

FIRPTA (Foreign Sellers)

FIRPTA: the buyer withholds 15% of the gross sale price when a nonresident sells US property. It is an advance deposit, not the final tax.

Non-Resident Capital Gains

Nonresident sellers pay US capital gains tax (generally 15-20%) on the net gain via Form 1040-NR; FIRPTA withholding is credited.

Non-Resident Rental Tax

Nonresident rental income is taxed at 30% of gross by default, or on net income at graduated rates via a Section 871(d) election (W-8ECI).

Estate Tax (Non-Resident)

Nonresidents get only a $60,000 US estate-tax exemption (vs $13.99M for residents); US property above it is taxed up to 40%. Treaties may help.

ITIN Requirement

Nonresidents without an SSN need an ITIN (Form W-7) to file US tax returns, claim FIRPTA refunds, and report rental income.

Foreign Ownership Restrictions

SB 264 restricts buyers from 7 countries of concern (incl. China) from residential property near sensitive sites. Verify first.

Talk to a US real-estate tax advisor

FIRPTA, ITIN & Florida property-tax guidance for foreign buyers

Latest Gainesville Real-Estate News

New Fed chairman may leave mortgage rates mostly unchanged

Guaranteed Rate • Jun 18, 2026

Household real estate wealth hits record $48.7 trillion

Eye On Housing • Jun 18, 2026

U.S. commercial property prices hit record as deal patterns shift

Altus Group • Jun 18, 2026

Lincoln Estates Real Estate FAQ

Lincoln Estates in Gainesville, Florida has a mixed-to-weaker investment profile on the numbers provided. Prices are about 15% above Gainesville and in line with Florida, gross yield is 5.4, and prices declined 2.4 over the past year. The Red Flag score is 59.

Neighborhoods near Lincoln Estates

Compare Lincoln Estates with nearby neighborhoods in Gainesville.

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