Lakes at Rancho El Dorado, Maricopa, Arizona is a lower-priced neighborhood with prices in line with Maricopa and about 28% below Arizona. Its gross yield is 6.6, while prices fell 3.4 over the past year. The Red Flag score is 67, walkability is 11, and education is in the 30th percentile. The main strength is the relatively strong yield; the main risk is the elevated Red Flag score and very low walkability.
AI Summary•Updated May 2026
Area
2.01 mi²
ZIP Code
85138
County
Pinal County
State
Arizona
Redfin — median sale & volumeZillow ZORI — asking rentFEMA National Risk Index v1.20OpenStreetMap — POIFBI UCR — state crimeEPA — radon zonesWashU ACAG — satellite PM2.5EPA FRS / BTS — hazard screeningUS Census ACS / TIGER 2024
Verified Price · Median Sale
$344,898
YoY-3.4%
Gross Rental Yield
6.6%
Listed rent · ZORI annualized
Red Flag Index
High
67 / 100
Walkability Score
11
Minimal
OpenStreetMap POI density · national percentile
Education Score
30 / 100
Limited · better than 30% of U.S. districts
Pre-pandemic SEDA (2018/19) · district proxy
AI Score
57
Good
DistrictScore attractiveness · national model
Lakes at Rancho El Dorado Property Prices & Rental Yield
Verified Redfin sale data and Zillow ZORI asking rent for Lakes at Rancho El Dorado, Maricopa.
Market Trend (12-Month)
12 Months
$355K$350K$345K$341K$336K
Verified Sale Price (Median)
Jun '25May '26
Verified = Redfin median sale price (MLS). Rolling 3-month series.
Unlock the Lakes at Rancho El Dorado 12-month price trend
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Is Lakes at Rancho El Dorado Safe? Natural-Hazard Risk
FEMA National Risk Index composite across eight hazards, plus inherited Arizona crime context.
Red Flag Breakdown
67 / 100
High Risk
Composite is weighted by expected impact — frequent low-damage hazards (hail, wind) weigh less than flood or wildfire.
Flood100Very High
Wildfire100Very High
Heat100Very High
Strong Wind60High
Hail60High
Earthquake40Moderate
Tornado40Moderate
Hurricane20Low
8/8 hazards scored · FEMA NRI v1.20
Crime (state-level): Arizona averaged 22.1 crimes and 4.2 violent per 1,000 residents (-4.8% YoY) in 2024(FBI UCR). Compare the state to the country, not states as a ranking — full Safety & Crime data lives on the state page.
Active transaction volume — 434 homes sold last period
Flood risk is Very High (100/100)
Wildfire risk is Very High (100/100)
Insights are generated from Lakes at Rancho El Dorado's live DistrictScore metrics.
Lakes at Rancho El Dorado Environment & Safety
Satellite PM2.5 air-quality history, FBI UCR crime trend (Arizona-level, the finest official aggregation), EPA radon potential and point-source hazard screening.
Air Quality — PM2.5
2015–2024
5.6 µg/m³ Meets EPA, above WHO guideline-13.4% since 2015
9.57.86.14.3
EPA 9WHO 5
20152024
Annual mean fine-particle (PM2.5) concentration at the Lakes at Rancho El Dorado centroid, satellite-derived (ACAG). References: WHO guideline 5 µg/m³ · EPA annual standard 9 µg/m³. Latest year ranks worse than 39% of U.S. neighborhoods.
Arizona Crime Trend
FBI UCR
38190
20132024
All crimes / 1k
Violent / 1k
Year
Crimes / 1k
Violent / 1k
YoY
2024
22.1
4.2
-4.8%
2023
23.6
4.3
-4.4%
2022
25.1
4.5
-0.1%
2021
25.4
4.3
-8.3%
2020
27.1
4.8
-4.3%
2019
28.8
4.5
—
Reported at the state level — the finest official US crime aggregation; Lakes at Rancho El Dorado inherits the Arizona figures.
Radon Potential
EPA
Zone 2
Zone 2 — Moderate potential · Lakes at Rancho El Dorado
EPA radon zones estimate indoor radon potential county-wide (Zone 1 highest, Zone 3 lowest). Testing is recommended in all zones.
Environmental Hazards
EPA / BTS
Industrial odor2 nearbyVery High
Point-source screening near Lakes at Rancho El Dorado: EPA Superfund National Priorities List & Facility Registry (2026), BTS aviation noise (2020, 24-hour average level). Superfund shows distance to the nearest listed site; odor shows detected sources within the screening radius. Only detected sources are listed; the bar shows severity vs. all U.S. neighborhoods.
Walkability & Amenities in Lakes at Rancho El Dorado
Amenity density and pedestrian access from OpenStreetMap points of interest.
Walkability & Amenities
OpenStreetMap POI
11
Minimal
Walkability Score
1
Grocery
0
Dining
1
Schools
0
Universities
0
Hospitals
0
Pharmacies
10
Parks
0
Rail Transit
0
Coworking
POI counts are amenities within Lakes at Rancho El Dorado's boundary plus a 400 m walk buffer. Rail transit excludes bus stops.
Lakes at Rancho El Dorado vs Maricopa vs Arizona
How Lakes at Rancho El Dorado benchmarks against its city and state medians.
Benchmark vs City & State
Across Lakes at Rancho El Dorado, the median sale price sits in line with the median for Maricopa neighborhoods and about 28% below the statewide median. Gross rental yield is 6.6%, against 6.6% for Maricopa neighborhoods and 4.8% statewide. Over the past 12 months, prices fell 3.4%. Transaction liquidity sits in line with the median for Maricopa neighborhoods and above the statewide median.
Lakes at Rancho El Dorado, Maricopa, Arizona has a gross yield of 6.6 and prices about 28% below Arizona. Over the past year, prices fell 3.4. The Red Flag score is 67, walkability is 11, and education is in the 30th percentile.
Neighborhoods near Lakes at Rancho El Dorado
Compare Lakes at Rancho El Dorado with nearby neighborhoods in Maricopa.
Unlock deeper insights on Lakes at Rancho El Dorado