Lake Forest, Round Rock, Texas has a mid-yield profile with moderate risk, low walkability, and strong education scores. Pricing is in line with Round Rock and about 17% above Texas, while gross yield is 5.6%. Prices are down 4.6% over the past year. The Red Flag score is 50, walkability is 25, and education is in the 90th percentile, giving the neighborhood one clear strength in school-district test-score performance.
AI Summary•Updated May 2026
Area
5.93 mi²
ZIP Code
78664
County
Williamson County
State
Texas
Redfin — median sale & volumeZillow ZORI — asking rentFEMA National Risk Index v1.20OpenStreetMap — POIFBI UCR — state crimeEPA — radon zonesWashU ACAG — satellite PM2.5EPA FRS / BTS — hazard screeningUS Census ACS / TIGER 2024
Verified Price · Median Sale
$336,400
YoY-4.6%
Gross Rental Yield
5.6%
Listed rent · ZORI annualized
Red Flag Index
Moderate
50 / 100
Walkability Score
25
Car-Dependent
OpenStreetMap POI density · national percentile
Education Score
90 / 100
Excellent · better than 90% of U.S. districts
Pre-pandemic SEDA (2018/19) · district proxy
AI Score
53
Fair
DistrictScore attractiveness · national model
Lake Forest Property Prices & Rental Yield
Verified Redfin sale data and Zillow ZORI asking rent for Lake Forest, Round Rock.
Market Trend (12-Month)
12 Months
$370K$359K$349K$339K$328K
Verified Sale Price (Median)
Jun '25May '26
Verified = Redfin median sale price (MLS). Rolling 3-month series.
Unlock the Lake Forest 12-month price trend
See the full Verified vs Listed price history — free with a DistrictScore account.
FEMA National Risk Index composite across eight hazards, plus inherited Texas crime context.
Red Flag Breakdown
50 / 100
Moderate Risk
Composite is weighted by expected impact — frequent low-damage hazards (hail, wind) weigh less than flood or wildfire.
Hail100Very High
Wildfire60High
Hurricane60High
Tornado60High
Flood40Moderate
Heat40Moderate
Strong Wind40Moderate
Earthquake20Low
8/8 hazards scored · FEMA NRI v1.20
Crime (state-level): Texas averaged 24.3 crimes and 3.9 violent per 1,000 residents (-6.2% YoY) in 2024(FBI UCR). Compare the state to the country, not states as a ranking — full Safety & Crime data lives on the state page.
Active transaction volume — 159 homes sold last period
Hail risk is Very High (100/100)
Insights are generated from Lake Forest's live DistrictScore metrics.
Lake Forest Environment & Safety
Satellite PM2.5 air-quality history, FBI UCR crime trend (Texas-level, the finest official aggregation), EPA radon potential and point-source hazard screening.
Air Quality — PM2.5
2015–2024
7.4 µg/m³ Meets EPA, above WHO guideline+14.1% since 2015
10.18.26.44.5
EPA 9WHO 5
20152024
Annual mean fine-particle (PM2.5) concentration at the Lake Forest centroid, satellite-derived (ACAG). References: WHO guideline 5 µg/m³ · EPA annual standard 9 µg/m³. Latest year ranks worse than 90% of U.S. neighborhoods.
Texas Crime Trend
FBI UCR
37180
20132024
All crimes / 1k
Violent / 1k
Year
Crimes / 1k
Violent / 1k
YoY
2024
24.3
3.9
-6.2%
2023
26.4
4.1
-1.7%
2022
27.4
4.4
+6.3%
2021
26.3
4.5
-1.8%
2020
26.9
4.5
-3.6%
2019
28.3
4.2
—
Reported at the state level — the finest official US crime aggregation; Lake Forest inherits the Texas figures.
Radon Potential
EPA
Zone 3
Zone 3 — Lowest potential · Lake Forest
EPA radon zones estimate indoor radon potential county-wide (Zone 1 highest, Zone 3 lowest). Testing is recommended in all zones.
Environmental Hazards
EPA / BTS
Industrial odor7 nearbyVery High
Point-source screening near Lake Forest: EPA Superfund National Priorities List & Facility Registry (2026), BTS aviation noise (2020, 24-hour average level). Superfund shows distance to the nearest listed site; odor shows detected sources within the screening radius. Only detected sources are listed; the bar shows severity vs. all U.S. neighborhoods.
Walkability & Amenities in Lake Forest
Amenity density and pedestrian access from OpenStreetMap points of interest.
Walkability & Amenities
OpenStreetMap POI
25
Car-Dependent
Walkability Score
3
Grocery
5
Dining
4
Schools
0
Universities
0
Hospitals
2
Pharmacies
16
Parks
0
Rail Transit
0
Coworking
POI counts are amenities within Lake Forest's boundary plus a 400 m walk buffer. Rail transit excludes bus stops.
Lake Forest vs Round Rock vs Texas
How Lake Forest benchmarks against its city and state medians.
Benchmark vs City & State
In Lake Forest, the median sale price sits in line with the median for Round Rock neighborhoods and about 17% above the statewide median. Gross rental yield is 5.6%, against 5.1% for Round Rock neighborhoods and 5.4% statewide. Over the past 12 months, prices fell 4.6%. Transaction liquidity sits in line with the median for Round Rock neighborhoods and above the statewide median.
Lake Forest, Round Rock, Texas has gross yield at 5.6% and a Red Flag score of 50. Pricing is in line with Round Rock and about 17% above Texas, while prices are down 4.6% over the past year. Walkability is 25 and education is in the 90th percentile, so the profile mixes stronger school scores with softer price momentum.
Neighborhoods near Lake Forest
Compare Lake Forest with nearby neighborhoods in Round Rock.